14 July 2023: added a note at the end.
I already wrote one post about how can we trust God given MSLN theodicy.
Epistemic status: I don't know much about economics / labor relations
in general, or the areas of those particularly related to this post.
I was thinking today [when I drafted this] that if God
negotiates with Satan, what if that means
that Satan manages to make it so that there's no
Millennium? I would assume that
God would institute a time after this life for us, because he wants us
to be saved, and very few of us are ready in this life. But would God
get to have what he wanted? Or would Satan have a strong-enough hand
in negotiations to cripple God's ability to act on his love?
In the negotiation process, God has the ultimate power. He can choose
not to go ahead with creation. Let's say God and Satan are negotiating
over the terms of a "temptation contract". This is needed before we
are created. God can simply wait for a favorable contract. But, God
really wants to create us, and needs Satan to volitionally empower
temptation. It is better to create us than to not create us, so
God has an incentive to allow Satan to have power.
What does Satan get out of the contract? Mainly, the satisfaction
of doing evil [other rewards mentioned later in this post]. What does
God get out of it? Temptation, which helps us become holy. God can
run a cost-benefit analysis and see exactly how much benefit he can
expect to get from temptation. If the cost from Satan exceeds the
temptation, he simply will not ratify the temptation contract.
Temptation allows people to enter God's rest (/ heaven), by causing
them to choose more deeply to reject sin and choose God instead.
It would be counterproductive to institute temptation in a way that
costs people's ability to enter God's rest through repentance.
This puts a ceiling on how bad the world can turn out to be.
But, I think if, say, 1,000 people fully repent in their hearts in
this life and thus do not need the Millennium to be saved, and
everyone else is lost, that's still a net positive. That's not very
reassuring.
I imagine God thinking of strategies to elicit good terms from Satan.
One thing to note is that "Satan" is really a class of evil beings.
So God can choose between competing offers coming from evil beings.
I guess it's possible that there's only one evil being,
but if there was, that being would have a strong hand in negotiating,
and would probably make a world worse than this one currently is.
It seems very unlikely to me that evil is an idea that would only occur
to one being, and also, that God would put himself in a position where
he only had one evil being rely on to will temptation.
So, if there are competing evil beings, there's a kind of "race
to the bottom" to produce better and better evil-affected worlds.
In human labor relations, people have some low price (in a globalized
world, perhaps very low for some workers) below which they will not
offer their labor. They need to be paid enough to buy food, for instance.
This sets an effective floor on wages. So, would there be a floor
to how good the world could be, given the personal needs of evil beings?
In other words, while for Jesus, his bread was doing God's will, and
for us, our bread can be literal food, for demons, bread is something
like... sadistic enjoyment? the exercise of the will to power? feelings
of superiority? a sense of security (derived from job security, perhaps)?
the satisfaction of spoiling things for God? ... probably something like
that. Some of these listed are not necessarily evil, but let's say all
demons hold out for at least some evil inflicted on the world. There's
some minimal amount of this that the most "scab-like" of demons would
demand, and this sets the basic price (of evil) for temptation.
What if that brings us back around to "only 1,000 people are saved"?
What if that's the wage floor? I think we have a kind of anthropic
principle going here. Since we exist, generally speaking, our set-up
(the way the world works) is favorable to all of us being saved in the
end. God wouldn't create us if that weren't possible.
Does that mean that Satan's intrusions in our timeline (i.e. the
Lisbon earthquake, fawns burning in the forest as in William Rowe's
paper, the Holocaust, the depravity of
human nature) have zero ability to lead us to hell?
That doesn't seem likely. For instance, the problem of evil has led
some people into atheism and lack of trust of God. But maybe in the
Millennium (or even partly by posts like this very one, which support
theodicies) it's relatively easy to convince atheists that God exists
and there's a point to seemingly gratuitous evil. So it's not as fatal
to people coming to God as it might seem. But I think that at least
some atheists get stuck on their distrust of God, which was first taught
to them by their reaction to the problem of evil, and if they stay
stuck, they might harden and be lost.
I think it's possible for God to say "While Satan's intrusions (/
negotiated features of the world) might contribute to people going to
hell, I can't predict a priori whether that will happen in each person's
case before exposing them to those intrusions, and therefore it's in the
realm of risk, rather than 'unforced error' if I go ahead with this
creation." An "unforced error" being allowing Satan to negotiate for a
world in which it simply isn't possible for more than some small number
of people to be saved. In other words, it is obviously a bad idea for
God to create us if he knows for sure that any of us will definitely be
lost if he creates, and that would be the case if there was no
Millennium.
How do we know that God doesn't want us to be lost? One intuition
comes from the image of "father". God is a person who brings persons
into the world. God loves. God is legitimate, and his legitimacy
makes him God. As part of that legitimacy, he values all that is
valuable, and whatever good there is in us, he values. To love is to
value a personal being as a personal being, which is what that being
is. So God loves the persons he brings into the world.
Loving beings do not want any of the people they love to
be destroyed. God will feel grief over their loss, if they are lost.
In the end, that grief will not be
unbearable because in the end,
there can be no unbearability. But it will still be grief. But the
emotional cost is not primarily what means that God does not want us
to be lost. Rather, it is his love for us. He loves each of us, and
so does not want any of us to be lost. Better that we never exist than
that we be lost. People who do not yet exist are only faint ideas, and
if they are foregone, there isn't much lost. God will create as many
people as he can, but not regret the ones he can't make -- there isn't
an infinity of potential people, only the amount that God can make.
But people who do come to exist are real, and there are real stakes
for their well-being.
--
Let's assume that evil beings come from some kind of process that
God can repeat. He can destroy the old evil beings (at some pain to him,
if there's some good to them) and "roll up" some more evil beings. The
most scab-like of these evil beings could give us a world that is
actually very nice. The only evil other than temptation (and where we
go given that temptation) being something like the occasional head
cold. Why don't we live in this world? Couldn't God have held out
until we got that lowest-bidder demon?
One possible reason why not is because to truly will temptation
in every circumstance where it can be called for (which is what is
needed in the temptation contract) is an act of profound
evil, and that the fact that the world that we live in is not far
worse than it is, is due to the "race to the bottom". It may be
the case that there is an absolute floor to how evil a being can
be and still will all temptation, and such a being would not sell
their evil will for less than a certain evil reward.
But, couldn't it be the case that evil is its own reward? If
that were so, then couldn't there be a lowest-bidder demon who
would sell their work as a tempter as cheap as just willing temptation?
Perhaps an evil demon would hate that good comes out of temptation,
and require extra evil to go through with the contract as compensation.
It's like if there was a volunteer position that was its own reward
to the class of people who were suited to working on it. This volunteer
position was their only way of advancing their tastes/values in the
world. But it had a side effect that went against their tastes/values.
None of them could be motivated to take the volunteer position unless
there was some compensation for the side effect. The compensation would
be to cause more of an advance in their tastes/values.
Does that illustration make sense? I guess if I were in the demons'
position, I could see myself taking such a volunteer position and making
the same demands.
The demon is being rational and calculating to some extent by demanding
extra evil as compensation for the good that results from temptation, but
not being fully rational, or else they would demand enough evil to almost
cancel out the good done. But for some reason, demons seem to be selling
their labor for less than it is worth, by not getting the full compensation
for their efforts.
This is (basically?) the same as when human employees
sell their labor for less than what it is worth, which is common
and kind of odd when you look at it in an alien light. Why do humans
do that? Probably because they are not fully rational. Businesses can
find workers who are not fully rational, but who are partially rational
and thus demand some wages. Humans have various psychological factors
that compete with "seek your own well-being as effectively as possible",
and one that demons might have is their lust to do evil. Demons are
lustful, and could be impatient and pragmatic, wanting to just get
some kind of evil done rather than pushing for some kind of pure and
thoroughgoing evil that might fully instantiate their values or tastes.
It only takes one relatively petty-minded demon to sign a temptation
contract that leaves a lot of good in the world, but maybe the lust
for evil in demons runs strong enough that there is a floor to how
good the world can be, given their ability to negotiate for compensation.
--
I notice myself using "tastes" and "values" as semi-interchangeable
above. I think that they can work similarly in that they can both
motivate people to set up an axiology (an ordering of what is best) but
that to have tastes has a significantly different tonality than to have
values. "Taste" speaks of enjoyment, consumption, preference satisfaction,
being pleased, and in some cases, of lust, while "value" speaks of
idealism, self-giving, and (I would say) love.
Perhaps, in a Buberian way (like his "evil is not whole-souled" or
"you can't worship God by using the same kind of worship you give
an idol and just swap out your idol for God"), to will evil is a matter
of tastes and not value. When the intensity of your valuing increases
(perhaps), the greater your self-giving and idealism and (true) loving. But
when the intensity of your "tasting" increases, the greater your
impatience and thus pragmatism, and your hunger, and your lust.
So a truly "great" (intense) evil willing is one that is done lustfully,
and thus impatiently and pragmatically, costing the evil-willer the
ability to inflict a truly rational-scale intense evil.
Now, demons may be crippled by their own lusts, but humans who
have been deceived by demons can misguidedly pursue through value
what is actually worthless or dangerous and thus bring great evil
into the world, in effect. In terms of raw intent and desire,
it's hard to beat a demon for evilness, although perhaps there are
some people who seem to be possessed by demons but are actually on
their side and match them both for the vehemence and impatience of
their evil. But in terms of consequences, humans are better instruments
of greatness, and the effects of greatness can be both good and bad.
(Notice that demons crippled by their own lusts still manage to
demand things like wild animal suffering, earthquakes that kill thousands
of people, and the presence of psychological evil (demonic possession /
mental illness / personality disorders / urges toward killing and raping,
etc.), on a scale that makes life gratuitously miserable for many beings,
sometimes horrifying and offending people so that they reject God.
Perhaps demons still have us beat as far as causing evil. But perhaps
there are evil outcomes that only can be attained if we "semi-wittingly"
or unwittingly help them come about.)
Our preferences, deep in who we are and not just as they express
themselves through what we are, have a tonality to them. We are
not "bloodless" in who we are, and there we either love, value, have tastes
for, or lust (or prefer in some other way I haven't thought of).
--
I like what I've written so far, but it doesn't satisfy me. I still
feel like somehow God could roll a minimally-evil demon to fulfill the
temptation contract. He is patient and reality-aimed, and simply needs
time before he can get a demon like that.
However, one thought occurs to me that might explain why God
might have to choose a demon without waiting for the ideal demon.
The "size" of God may be finite, in
that he may have finite memory. In order to remember his own past,
which (we could assert) is necessary for him
to be who he is (it's part of the story of legitimacy,
the exact content of which can change over time as legitimacy becomes
more specified), he has to use memory, and so he has a finite amount of
time to get to the end of time.
--
14 July 2023:
It occurs to me that a demon could negotiate for a situation where
many or most people were lost. For instance, if there were going to
be a million people in the world, the demon could negotiate for a
reality where 1,000 of them were saved, but only if everyone else
(999,000) were lost. So the idea is that the demon could force
999,000 people to be created, only to be lost, using the 1,000 as
hostages of a sort.
Is there some reason to think this could not be the case? I think there
is. According to MSL, God is Legitimacy. This means that he values
what is valuable (what is legitimate), and must keep it going forever
if possible. So unless the 999,000 people all themselves rejected
him, he would have to save them no matter what. (They would have to be
the ones to reject him -- he couldn't reject himself for them and somehow
impute it to them.)
So God would be unable to offer the demon the concession of damning
some apart from their decisions whether to become holy, in order to
save others.
What if the demon negotiates a shorter, or even shorter, Millennium?
Up to a certain point, the length of the Millennium helps people have
time to be saved.
If you give a person a week to do an assignment, that may be too
short. Maybe you should give them a semester. That sounds better.
How about a year? Or five years? Perhaps there are two dynamics:
people who work slow always benefit from more time, but people who
are avoiding the work may find even more distractions over time,
find their motivation waning even more. So if you give people 5
years to do a homework assignment, all the people who benefit from
having lots of time get done in 1 year, but those who are avoiding
the assignment actually take it less seriously in the initial period
where they have momentum, and so are less likely to finish with a 5
year assignment period than with something shorter.
So maybe 1,000 years (or if we take that as being non-literal,
something else perhaps basically similar in length) is the optimal
length for the Millennium, to help both slow workers and procrastinators.
All slow workers can finish in that time, perhaps. We might say that
God can't offer the demons anything other than that length of a
Millennium, because God has to give us the optimal amount of time to
make our decision (too long would lose too many of the procrastinators,
too short would lose too many of the slow workers). That's his "wage
ceiling".
But then, why isn't his wage ceiling a bit lower so that it excludes
gratuitous suffering?
(later:)
God wants to maximize the number of people in heaven and minimize
those who are lost. A person in heaven is an infinite good (everlastingly
alive) while a person who is lost is an infinite loss (the loss of a
person forever). But not infinite in the sense that one person saved
could somehow be equal to millions lost (nor that the calculation would
be indeterminate). It is very important to God to make it so that everyone
who is created goes to heaven, if it is under God's power to do so.
However, as evil as intense suffering is in itself, if it does not
affect eternity, it is something God can accept if there is some kind of
benefit to doing so. A benefit might be that God can more readily get
demons to draft and sign temptation contracts if they get to cause us
intense, and even seemingly gratuitous, suffering. The sooner they sign,
the more memory God has to create people.
If God is deontologically constrained so that if it is under his power
to keep us from being lost, he must act, does that mean that he will
at some point make up for any lack of anti-temptation in our lives,
caused by people failing to anti-tempt us? If so, does
evangelicalism make sense?
It might make sense if we ourselves are tempted to not care. We
might say "temptations must come, but woe to those through whom
they come" -- what kind of person would tempt someone else to sin?
But we might also say "anti-temptations will come, but woe to those
who do not anti-tempt", as in, if you aren't inclined to anti-tempt,
your heart is not like God's heart, and that's a dangerous situation
to remain in.
It is also possible that the sooner people are anti-tempted, the
less suffering there is in the world, and the fewer regrets people
have. And also, God is in a state of suffering when we are out of
tune with him, and if we love him, we will want to reduce that
suffering -- suffering is felt in the now in a demanding way,
even if God knows that it is temporary.
On the other hand, maybe there is still room for tragic outcomes
despite God's pure will to save. If God's memory is finite,
then there is only so much time for people to come to holiness.
People can only process so much psychological input in a given
amount of time. If we don't use our time well, there is some chance
that though God is willing to anti-tempt us to make up for lacks
earlier in life, there might not be enough time for us to respond.
(So it makes sense to be concerned about things like hedonism keeping
us from growing spiritually in secular
time.)
Now, God can build in some slack by allocating more time for the
Millennium and creating fewer people (so that he can anti-tempt us
to make up for our lack of anti-tempting), and he would. But he allocates
the slack based on his estimate of what decisions we will make in
the future (the future from his perspective creating the world).
If we exceed those estimates, then there might not be enough slack.
It is possible that God and the demon make their
temptation contract such that God has to keep the world order the
same once creation begins. God believes that we are going to only
be "so bad". Perhaps, before he has seen us, God doesn't understand
how bad we could turn out to be. (Think of God trying to undo
creation with the Flood.) He has some idea, having seen demons,
but since he is a good being, his imagination doesn't naturally "go
there". (To imagine something that has never been imagined before
is to make something real and new in the imaginal world, so to
imagine evil for the first time is to create evil. God can't do
that, but he does perceive the evil that has been created in the
imaginal world by others, and this is his source for understanding
evil.) Further, God doesn't know what can't be known (what hasn't
happened yet), so he doesn't know exactly what we will decide to do. God bets that our moral nature will conform to his expectations
(from the Bible, it sounds like Satan bets that we will be worse than
God's expectations), and when we prove God wrong, maybe it's too late
for him to put the slack into the plan for the Millennium to compensate
for that.
The existence of gratuitous suffering (or other gratuitous evil)
is something that only makes sense if God is not against evil (which
doesn't make any sense in MSL) or he has some kind of constraint
on his power. Here are two constraints: God can't
tempt, and God can't imagine evil for himself, only can imagine it
once his eyes have been opened by seeing it embodied by beings that
were capable of innovating in that area. These two constraints
come from his holiness, that he is sinless.
(God is also constrained by having to want what he wants, a
consequentialist constraint, while the non-tempting one is a
deontological one, and the inability to imagine evil one could
be seen as a virtue-ethical one or a kind of "physical constraint".
Another "physical constraint" being God's limited memory, and also
his inability to relate to what does not exist (future things).)
(later:)
Can the demon make a contract with God that makes heaven worse than
God intended? (So much worse that we would not look forward to it?)
Temptation is only needed up to the end of the Millennium. Theoretically,
after that, God could break whatever contract he had with the demon.
I'm not sure that that would be a legitimate thing for God to do,
so what about the case that it is not?
Evil has to end someday. If not, God calls evil good, by never
rejecting it, which is illegitimate. Heaven is the time in which
evil does not exist anymore. So whatever damage a demon could do
through the contract, it could not cause heaven to have any evil
in it. (God would be unable to make that concession.) This includes the
qualia of unbearability, which are evil. Perhaps the demon could
make heaven less pleasurable? Once we are spiritually mature
enough to be in heaven, we probably won't care that much about a
little foregone pleasure. But could the demon negotiate for all
pleasure to be gone?
I think demons are more motivated by raw sadism (inflicting the
qualia of unbearability) than by quieting heaven's pleasurablity.
Perhaps heaven's pleasure can be protected by more pain in this life
(God can negotiate for us to have more pain in this life so that we
can experience his desired level of pleasure for us in heaven forever.)
I guess it's possible that there are demons who are relatively more
anti-pleasure than they are pro-pain (I would suppose that all demons
are pro-pain), and thus who would drain heaven of its pleasure
(or add 100% bearable suffering) for all eternity. Assuming that heaven's
pleasure(/lack of excess bearable pain) is important to God (and it might
be if for no other reason than to motivate and comfort us), he might
prefer to work with demons who would allow us to make this life worse,
and the Millennium worse, in hedonic terms (though not in terms of whether
those lives are effective in leading us to salvation), but keep
the last, everlasting life, up to a certain hedonic standard.