Showing posts with label cultural altruism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cultural altruism. Show all posts

Thursday, October 12, 2023

Missionary Care for Creatives in Los Angeles; or for others

I wrote a post about cultural altruism hubs. That post, and this one, which is related, discuss a kind of organizational or "scenic" structure or structures that people could build. I don't feel like this is a thing I should pursue, so I'm not looking to try to build those structures myself. But I think the ideas are worth writing up. Maybe someone else will find them useful.

I often write to a secular audience, or to no audience / to myself. But in this case, I write more to a Christian audience.

Creative people are especially susceptible to spiritual attack. Culture war brings out Satan. Some cultural-spiritual warfare is fought by "foot soldiers" (through interpersonal contact). Others through "air support". Airplanes are sophisticated machines. Books, movies, etc. are machines made out of thoughts and images. Culture "flies in the air". So producing cultural artifacts puts new "airplanes" or "drones" in the sky. These artifacts fight each other and fight people on the ground. With good air support, ground troops can have an easier time. So (I think) with good cultural artifacts, interpersonal evangelism and discipleship can go better.

Los Angeles is a center of the movie and music industries, which manufacture cultural artifacts (that part of the "air war"). Those industries are not always kind to the people who try to work in them. Many people have dreams of success in them, but only a few can succeed. There are stories of exploitation in those industries. This can affect everyone who tries to "make it". The overall culture of these industries seems to largely be non-Christian. Christians trying to work in those industries may experience as much exploitation and as many broken dreams of success as non-Christians. They may also experience culture shock and spiritual attack (for instance, being invited to hedonistic parties (something that I would guess happens), or being acculturated to the dominant secular culture to the point of compromising their faith). They may also experience hostility, due to their beliefs.

Are Christian creatives in Los Angeles missionaries? Arguably yes. So they can be supported and cared for like any other kind of missionary. (I recommend reading Serving as Senders Today and The Reentry Team, both by Neal Pirolo, to understand what I have in mind by "support" and "care". Briefly, churches or other sending teams can provide moral support, prayer support, send and receive messages about what's going on in the field, maybe money or logistical support, and help in missionaries transitioning in and out of service.)

Creative missionaries could care for fellow creatives and engage in evangelism and discipleship like any other kind of missionary. But they also "translate the Bible into the native language" of their fellow creatives, by being creative themselves, and/or into the language of the US in general, or even of other parts of the world, where LA culture industries reach.

I feel like if I were a suspicious secular person (perhaps an ex-Christian), an incorporated missionary agency sending financially supported creative missionaries into LA would be disturbing and lead to bad press (if evangelical Christians think that there is an oppressive, militant "other" in the cultural world, so do secular people -- everyone is "David" seeing "Goliath" in each other). Creative people tend to have their own ideas and some might not want to work with a missionary agency themselves. (It's good for creative people to be independent-minded in order to see what other people don't see.) Financially supported missionaries might be harder to relate to by struggling actors, writers, musicians, directors, etc. that they may be trying to reach.

So I think maybe the best way to implement creative missions is to set up structures to care for and support the creative Christians who find themselves in Los Angeles, as though they have sent themselves already, but maybe without enough support.

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Implementation:

I don't know anything about what might already be going on in this area. I can imagine that something like this is already going on.

I think churches in Los Angeles are already doing some of this support and care work. What they might not have is the sense that their creatives are missionaries dealing with spiritual warfare, culture shock, etc., and not know as much as they could of how to be good "senders" and "carers". Perhaps what is needed is to equip those churches.

Also, creatives might not have the sense that they are missionaries on a mission field. They might benefit from additional teaching and encouragement in having a really Christian worldview and practice in their art and life.

Other ideas:
1. Establishing refuge places in Southern California so that people can (affordably) get out of LA to take a break from it.
2. Connecting churches that have creatives to creatives in LA. (Not every church is a good place for a creative person to be.)

Southern California (plus northern Baja California) could be seen as having two areas of strategic significance for cultural people: Tijuana which is a gateway to Latin America and/or to understanding the non-American, non-"developed" world; and the cultural artifact manufacturing center of Los Angeles. In between is San Diego, a quieter place (maybe the military in San Diego is of cultural strategic significance?).

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Caveats:

I have not spent a lot of time in LA. I was involved in a low-budget film production that got actors from LA and have seen the incentives for exploitation and selling yourself in filmmaking. I can sense a certain amount of felt unhappiness and spiritual darkness from Los Angeles filmmaking (Hollywood and I guess "aspiring Hollywood" or indie film productions). I don't have direct experience with the music industry in LA.

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Postscript:

What about film directors? I mentioned them above. They are employers, people in positions of power. But they are at the mercy of their funding sources. Directors have to cobble together funding and employees from various sources, and then work intensely during production, with long pre-production and post-production times. Once finished, they sell their product on the market and hope for critical and financial success, which is uncertain. A lot of money rides on what they do. If they lose too much money, maybe they can't work again. It sounds like a risky, stressful, "disestablished" line of work.

This sounds like perhaps a more intense (or not) version of what entrepreneurs in general go through.

A film director could do the wrong thing because they are under some kind of pressure. Perhaps it is true of any kind of entrepreneur. Or business executive. How much wrongdoing comes from powerful people who are (subjectively or objectively) in insecure positions? Perhaps it would be good to come up with care and support for them.

Maybe if a person doesn't have money, that's their hard limit, and only with additional funding would they be able to do the right thing. (Maybe there could be funding to help them do the right thing?) With better support (prayer, moral, logistic, communication) and the expectation that they can get care if they fail, they might have more courage to do the right thing in marginal cases where they may not really be risking their success, (where perhaps it is some kind of delusion of danger or sin that puts its thumb on the scale of their perception of risk), or even in self-sacrificial cases where they have to sacrifice their success (their business venture/film? / career?) to do the right thing.

(Funding to help do the right thing: a director could develop a relationship with a funding agency that would commit to providing at least a significant part of the director's funding for each of their films, conditional on them doing the right thing and not necessarily on them being commercially successful. In other words, provide grace, or slack, so that directors can fail commercially if they do the right thing on set or in their other operations.)

(Conservative talk radio, to me, sounds like the voice of people who are suspicious and hardworking -- maybe small business owners who could easily go out of business and who have to deal with other insecure people who might cut corners or make untrustworthy deals to survive. Can there be care and support for them?)

Likewise, people in the spiritually dark worlds of the elites. Do Washington, DC churches adequately care for politicians and staffers who fight a culture war of their own? Political theater is part of the "air war" that movies are also involved in. Political decisions and governmental implementations of them have cultural consequences.

(Silicon Valley sounds like a place with its darkness and its own, different culture. What about it?)

People with bad reputations (criminals, prison guards, and police, for instance) may need care and support. It requires discernment how to support someone who has directed their life toward wrongdoing.

Like with creative missionaries in LA, I don't know anything about what might already be going on with care / support for people in these areas.

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The church I grew up in had a sign over the door as you went out, that said "You are now entering the mission field". Probably everyone could see themselves as a missionary, and everyone experiences occupational hazards as they interface with the world. And so everyone could be sent and cared for -- by other people who also could be sent and cared for. Do churches send and care for their own pastors? (Maybe pastors should have some support from outside their own congregations.)

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Everything is powerful, culturally. Everything sends a message. The way you do business as a small business owner affects the overall culture, the sense of how things are and how people act. Similarly with the products a business owner releases on the market. Each one is a movie or book, conditioning people's minds. The caring professions are culturally powerful.

This raises the question: if everyone has cultural power, if each person can say something that has a significant effect on someone (at least on him- or herself), what should you say? Are you the missionary for God and the truth, or for an off-flavor of God and a somewhat misleading truth? You have to seek to know what is true, so that you can correct what is wrong.

This process of self-correction has to go on on a societal level. Society (people within it) must speak against what is believed by society (other people within it). What does it take to oppose a consensus or effective consensus? What if the consensus involves the caring structures that you can find? Who will care for you when you burn out? Will the price of getting care be that you have to stop pointing out what's wrong?

So as much as care and support sound like a good thing, for at least some people, those who would point out what is least popular, it may be good to develop independence from human support and care. A wise society concerned with protecting itself from its own blind spots might try to develop the strength behind that independence in people, and not only promote care and support for people. For a believer in God, deriving strength from God, rather than from people, is a way to be strong enough to say what's unpopular.

It's possible for Christian (church-based) culture to somewhat discourage the individual from seeing things from their own perspective, and instead tries to enmesh them in a social organism. An individual church, and many individual people, will fare better if they are simply in-some-sense-"properly" interrelated socially. But Christianity as a whole suffers if it becomes blind due to its success in orienting individuals toward the points of view of their nearby congregations, which all can potentially be misguided.

Friday, July 14, 2023

MSLN and Evangelicalism

I am thinking of posting links to this post on outside sites. If you have come from one of those links, this post is about the New Wine System (a system of Biblical doctrines) developed/discovered by Philip Brown. I last read the comprehensive book on the subject that he wrote, New Wine for the End Times, about 10 years ago (when I was 25) and though it seemed to be convincing to me at the time, I haven't been able to reassess it from my more critical, older-self perspective. I will suggest that it is probably at least as Biblical as Reformed, Lutheran, Catholic, etc. doctrinal systems, possibly more so. In other words, it has at least as good a claim as any of those to being what was originally meant by the Biblical writers (or by God in his role as author of the Bible), possibly more so.

Being more philosophical than scholarly, I believe in the New Wine System more through reasoning, this taking up much of my efforts as a writer. My project called "MSLN" attempts to prove the existence of God (one whose nature requires/implies the New Wine System), is more complicated, more of a work in progress. However, I have also written up a simpler argument for the New Wine System which presupposes that the reader believes in God (a certain kind of God that many Christians and possibly some non-Christians would accept as the one they believe in), in an 8 page booklet called Simple New Wine System.

I'm not sure how Philip Brown would summarize the New Wine System (I mention that as some degree of deference to him since the label "New Wine System" originates with him.) I will summarize it as I understand it as being the following two ideas: 1) we must become completely holy (repent 100%, come to have God's values and heart 100%, love God with 100% of our beings, overcome our sinful habits in partnership with God 100%, perform any positive acts that God requires, maybe other things like that) in order to enter heaven (or else we must be destroyed in hell (annihilationism)), 2) there is a realistic amount of time for us to complete our part of this process, in the Millennium/Resurrection.

To some extent this post may be unwelcoming in the sense that I don't discuss it in terms that would make the most sense to someone unfamiliar with my writing. I think that writers try to be trust-producing (so that they have an audience), but sometimes that outstrips their trustworthiness. Someday maybe I will be so confident in the trustworthiness of what I say that I will present what I say in a more popular way. I think I'm moving in that direction, even with this post.

I'm trying not to get into the Bible or Christianity too much at this point in my writing life. However, MSL, the natural theology I do want to talk about, shares many structural similarities with Christianity (and with legitimism (the "L" in "MSL") could be seen as a proto-Christianity or minimalist Christianity).

So this post is trying to talk about "evangelicalism", which is a phenomenon in MSL, but also a phenomenon in Biblical Christianity. So talking about "evangelicalism" is something that serves the purpose of understanding MSL, but also shows how New Wine Christianity might "reform" or "restore" existing Biblical Christianity, perhaps solving some practical problems the church faces, and thus helps me explain the appeal of MSLN to some Christians.

"Evangelicalism", here, is not about cultural affiliation with "Evangelicals", but rather is a basic attitude, which could be something like this:

1. People are at risk for something other than loss of secular life. (Usually, for loss of eternal life.)
2. The way to deal with that risk involves that we care about others' well-being and act on that.
3. There are consequences to our inaction (or misguided action) with respect to #1. (People being lost from eternal life, usually.)
4. We should care about those consequences and feel and act accordingly.

Does MSL commit me to evangelicalism?

Does MSL commit me to evangelicalism? I think so. One interpretation of MSL would imply that if people don't do their part in "anti-tempting" people so that they turn toward God, God can do it in the Millennium. Therefore, under that interpretation, people would not have to care for other people's salvation. I suppose that's possible. But another possibility is that tragedy is possible. God is not so much in control that he can make up for all our deficiencies. This may sound impious, lacking in regard for God. A God who is great should be powerful, right? Who are we to not think God is great? So we must think he is powerful.

But what is the truth? Not everything that happens in this life seems like it comes from God. Maybe it's as simple as, it's not something God wants. (Atheists can provide strong examples of horror and suffering. Jews have had to struggle with the Holocaust as a religious fact, and it should concern us just as it does them.) But if God doesn't want it, then it's possible for things to happen that go against God's plan. My belief is that God always has a plan for everyone's life. But people's choices (whether their own, or other people's) send their lives down different tracks, so that God's first-choice plan ("plan A") gets replaced with his second-place plan ("plan B") or eventually further down the alphabet. And some of those plans that are far from plan A have to involve horror, lies, and suffering, and temptations to despair, delusion, and rejection of God.

What force compels God to allow our lives to become gratuitously bad? God is a holy God, so he can't will us to sin. He is unable to tempt us. But temptations help produce holiness (part of being like God is to turn against sin, ourselves -- so sin has to be presented as a positive thing for us to really strongly do that). Who will tempt us except evil beings? These evil beings then can refuse to work for God in their roles as tempters unless they get concessions, concessions such as a world that contains gratuitous evil. One of these evils might be that God is contractually not allowed to do all of the work he would otherwise do himself (more competently than we would), so we have to do some of it ourselves. Of course, it's good for us to do some of the work, for our own sakes. We anti-tempt ourselves when we care for other people. But there are times when we are not competent in doing our job (or not willing to do it), and there are consequences to that, which fall outside God's desires (and thus are tragic).

While it's always possible that God and Satan negotiate a world where God can do all the anti-tempting necessary, so that if someone rejects him it's 100% their decision, I don't know of any reason from MSL that would make me say I could assume that was the case. So there is uncertainty.

According to this post, God must do everything he can do to save us. Any lack of salvation is due to us, and he must provide us the ideal environment to be saved. So how could God fail to make up for our deficiencies in anti-tempting?

God cares about the salvation of his creatures. In order to have his heart, we must do the same. In order to be saved, we must have his heart. So we must care about the salvation of his creatures to be saved. The best way to do this is through practice.

It may also be the case that the most effective way for us to take this practice seriously is for us to be responsible in some way for others' salvation, in a way that does not get made up by God. After all, nobody makes up for what God does, so God's heart has to face that level of responsibility.

There's a trade-off between the benefit to the worker (who needs to have a reason to take the work seriously) and a risk to the one helped (or who should have been helped, if the worker doesn't do their job). God balances these two, and the result is that to some extent we are responsible for the eternal well-being of other people.

This makes sense to me, and I'm at least provisionally inclined to believe that it simply is the case. But if I want to doubt it, I think I still have to see it as a live possibility.

What is the best way to handle uncertainty? I can think of two natural intuitions. One is to say something like "agnosticism about the existence of God should lead to practical atheism" -- if you can't know about something, assume it doesn't matter. I think this is a fairly common one in culture. But, for people into risk management (some businesses, government, the military, effective altruism), certain uncertain outcomes are worth preparing for or trying to prevent. Practically speaking, if you have a solid-enough idea that God might exist, and of what that would entail, you should act as though God exists (in keeping with how likely you think God might exist), even if you are agnostic.

So which approach should we take, with respect to the possibility that people are needed to produce the best outcome with respect to the salvation of other people? If people aren't needed, and we try anyway, and we do a good job, then there are no downsides. And, if people aren't needed and we try, and do a bad job, whatever mistakes we make will be offset by good decisions God makes in anti-tempting them. (At least, in terms of whether people reach heaven, our mistakes will cause no lasting harm.)

But consider the case where people are needed. If we don't try (or don't do a good job), then there could be tragic consequences.

So I think the natural choice for a believer of MSL is to value evangelicalism. I would say "the natural choice is to live it", and I think most should, but perhaps some could lack competence or good-heartedness to the extent that they might feel it wisest to do nothing evangelical. But, if so they would be doing so for an evangelical cause (by getting out of the way).

What if we are uncertain whether MSL is true or not? To the extent that we think it might not be true, we should consider other goods besides eternal life. But to the extent that we think it probably is true, we should be evangelicals.

What kind of evangelicalism would MSL produce?

Michael Spencer's "Wretched Urgency" talks about evangelical (in the sense I use) church culture that is sort of "crazy". (It's a fleshed-out example from someone who saw that world better than I have.) I would use the term "dishonest" (people forcing themselves to care about things they don't naturally care about). Also, people who are focused heavily on conversions and not the moral life.

Isn't the moral truth that we should save people from hell, and go about it by converting them? But why does that go against what the New Testament seems to exemplify? Spencer makes the point that there isn't much about preaching to the lost in the New Testament. It happens, but the emphasis is more on morality.

The MSLN answer is: if you don't focus on morality, you could be one of the lost. The person you have the greatest chance of reaching to prevent eternal loss is yourself. We know ourselves the best of anyone (although we can sometimes be self-deceived or misguided), and we have the advantage of being able to just obey ourselves when we tell ourselves to repent, with an act of unilateral will. In some sense we can will that other people repent, but also, we are powerless. A mistake that evangelicalism can make is to try to push people to the point of repenting, using pressure and manipulation. MSL and New Wine evangelicals should not do that, and it doesn't make as much sense for them to do so, unlike in some non-New Wine Christianity where it does more so.

In MSLN, while the need and call for holiness is absolute, the time period in which people can pursue holiness is greatly expanded over what we get in secular time. So it doesn't make as much sense to be "wretchedly" urgent. You can dilute your urgency, not to the point that there is none, but you aren't forced into "wretchedness" by the fact of the brevity of secular life -- instead of saying "if this person doesn't change before the end of this life, they will go to hell" you say "if this person doesn't change before the end of this life, that's not the best sign but it's not certain they will go to hell". Because your urgency is diluted, you don't have to drive yourselves and other people as hard in response.

I grew up in a church that in my memory was "practically non-evangelical". This is a term I made up -- "practical non-evangelicalism" (PNE) parallel to "practical atheism". A nominal Christian may really be atheistic in how they prefer, act, and trust ("practically atheistic"), and a nominal evangelical may be non-evangelical in how they prefer, act, and trust. PNE can happen when you have all the doctrinal ingredients necessary to be evangelical, but you just don't derive evangelicalism from them. You might do this by technically still believing in hell and lostness, but just never preaching about it. Maybe the older half of the congregation has memories of the "wretched days", so the Spencer-like preachers emphasize all the things Spencer does (including spiritual maturity, and feeling OK instead of guilty all the time), and the younger half of the congregation, having only heard Spencer-like preachers and not the culture Spencer-like preachers are responding to, again, may have some technical sense that hell exists (it's mentioned in the Bible, after all), but has no real concept that that's a real thing, no concept that people have eternal as opposed to secular well-being, and thus do not care about their own or other people's eternal well-being. It has seemed to me that this sets up two problems: 1) we love people less because less is at stake, 2) we make secular well-being our real concern, and then as soon as the secular world cares for this well-being better than religious people do, religion will have no purpose and die out. #2 matters if there's some reason why God is supposed to matter to us, and we come to know God through people having concern for people (concern in the name of God / religion).

Typically, I like to solve as much of my problems as I can with principles, and avoid laws and practical wisdom. If you can found your thought structure on good basic truths, then everything should follow well. Get your basic truths right, if you possibly can, to save you work in the law-writing and practical wisdom phases. I think it's hard to avoid laws and the need for practical wisdom, though. But with better principles, I think MSLN should do a better job than traditional evangelicalism.

However, traditional evangelicalism isn't totally a failure from an MSL/New Wine perspective. That is, from my natural-theological point of view, it does some good, and probably more good than bad, and even from Spencer's Biblical point of view, it was successful in conveying at least some concern for morality and it did transmit the Bible which he uses to correct "wretched evangelicalism". The messed-up, simplistic version of something might be popular and powerful, at least for a time. I don't think it makes sense to ignore the special genius of "wretched evangelicalism", which is that, though "wretchedly urgent", it actually was urgent. That's not something to dismiss lightly, and it is not good to substitute "wretched urgency" with a "wretched apathy".

What we want is excellence. How do we achieve that? An athlete has to train hard, and even risk injury, in order to be excellent. But, they have to have good technique in order to be excellent. I think that traditional evangelicalism lends itself to bad technique. But being too concerned with health leads to lack of effort. I think MSLN brings better technique in that morality (holiness, spiritual maturity) is part of the goal. You can singlemindedly pursue the goal of salvation of the lost and still attend to morality. That takes care of one of the failure modes of traditional evangelicalism, that "consequentialism" (evangelicalism) "tempts us to sacrifice deontology/virtue ethics" (tempts us to sin, fail to be good, fail to expect goodness from others).

It's possible to associate "spiritual maturity" with healthy living (with secular well-being), such that healthiness (especially mental health) is an inherent part of spiritual maturity. I think it is more dangerous to overemphasize health than to overemphasize effort (because if health is your idol you might not get punished for it like you probably will with effort). But health is a valid concern, and does play into the longevity of a religious movement (if everyone burns out, the movement loses ability to expend effort in the long run). I don't know if I've written about this on this blog, but my belief is that legitimism implies that, since the good is the best thing, we should put the good first, and be willing to sacrifice everything to the good. (Legitimacy is the good, God is the good, and both MSL's "Father" and "Son" persons of Legitimacy (the good) risk their existences in order to conform to Legitimacy. God is self-obedient.) This implies that willingness to pursue "the cross" (risking yourself for the sake of the good) is essential to salvation. We can't let health get in the way of that, and MSLN calls for the cross more clearly than non-New Wine Christianity. But, you pursue the cross attempting not to destroy yourself but to be effective, and effectiveness calls for a concern for health. I don't think MSLN clears up this on the level of principle, occasioning law and/or practical wisdom to make sense of this. (Maybe Jesus' example of only dying on one cross and avoiding all the others is helpful.) (Also "Give to health what is health's and to God what is God's" as in this story)

What MSLN does do is say that if you're pushing too hard, in your pursuit of working for your salvation or others' salvation, and you are starting to burn out, you can say "Well, there's time in the Millennium, so I don't have to make this effect happen now, so I can take a break". But if you're becoming too apathetic, you can say "Wait, there's something real at stake, I need to go to work. Who can say if my work won't help someone escape hell?" MSLN's ideas about how reality is set up allow us to move away from either extreme position of "there is no work to be done for God, only to attend to secular well-being, if that" and "the work for God is so urgent that we need to pursue it dishonestly, insanely, etc.". MSLN is in the middle, motivating work for God without too often leading to "wretched urgency".

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Perhaps, to sum up so far, the problem with evangelicalisms are that they can be unhealthy, dishonest, immoral, "wretched", and thus be counterproductive.

A traditional evangelical could keep their "heaven or hell when you die" perspective and say "while it looks as though there is an intense, burning urgency to help people find God, what actually works to achieve that is to not think about that or in those terms, otherwise you become unhealthy, dishonest, immoral, 'wretched', etc.". In other words, things are "not what they say on the tin". You might naively think that you should care about other people and feel the feelings, think the thoughts, etc., that go along with their objective state, and then act on those feelings/thoughts. But actually, you shouldn't care about other people, nor feel those feelings, think those thoughts. Actually, to "really" care about other people is like not caring. Caring is "not what it says on the tin".

When I admired traditional evangelicalism's possession of urgency earlier (even if it might be "wretched"), part of what I thought was good was the way that urgency gets us to actually do things. The doing of things follows from objective reality. Just to see someone as lost gives you a power and direction to do something. Their lostness is a moral truth. How will you respond to that truth? If you don't respond to moral truth, what kind of person are you? Probably someone lacking in moral sensitivity -- having a heart unlike God's.

Perhaps in some grim world the best we can do is live the paradox. Maybe the paradox lurks in non-New Wine evangelicalism (at least all the non-"wretched" varieties), and the best we can do is be paradoxical.

With MSLN, you don't need to distance yourself from the objective fact of someone else's lostness in order to relate to it in a healthy, honest, moral, non-"wretched" way. So then the "MSLian" or New Wine Christian can better maintain their connection to the fact of lostness. They can trust the category of "objective truth" more. They can derive strength from the truth in a way that a paradox-minded person can't. They can be more passionate, and thus will probably be more fruitful than they would have been as "paradoxical traditional evangelicals" or "practical non-evangelicals".

This assumes that MSLN (a set of ideas) is well-implemented by the people who adopt it. And like anything, it might not be well-implemented if its adherents do a bad-enough job. But MSLN itself isn't starting them off at as much of a disadvantage as the other views do.

Can MSL evangelicalism be trusted by traditional evangelicals?

This post is written at least in part so that non-New Wine evangelicals might consider New Wine evangelicalism. One question such people might have is "We think that what matters is that people make a decision for Jesus -- that they are converted. Could the New Wine System be a scam that gets us to no longer emphasize that thing, which we have always thought mattered? What if we mistakenly believe the New Wine System, although it is false, and fail to do work we should have done, and people go to hell who otherwise would not have?"

I do think that being concerned about intellectual scams is valid, and that a change in the beliefs that affect what you consider highest is one to make carefully and aware of the risk. A New Wine person like myself, considering traditional evangelicalism's arguments if they were presented to me, might feel like they are a scam, to get me to give up my concern over holiness's role in salvation. Traditional evangelicalism at its worst produces shallow believers who think they are 100% OK in the eyes of God (effectively -- they know "they are sinners" but don't think being a sinner is really a bad thing since they are guaranteed to go to heaven). In this regime of moral shallowness, people can harden on little sins that they like, and in some areas become deaf to the voice of Jesus. So traditional evangelicalism, when it succeeds at what it thinks is sufficient to save people, could bias some people toward choosing hell, if in fact New Wine evangelicalism is correct. Both evangelicalisms are potential scams, depending on your perspective.

How can you choose between two potential scams? (Especially when, in this area, all the alternatives are potential scams, things that if you adopt them might cause you to take focus off of what really matters.)

How much are New Wine and traditional evangelicalism in tension, practically speaking? Maybe in practice they achieve the same ends, more or less.

Conversion matters to a New Wine person because it enables people to point themselves in a better direction with respect to God. It's part of holiness as I understand it. Can you reach God without a conscious trusting relationship to him? No. Likewise traditional evangelicals (despite "wretchedness") still teach holiness.

It's true that MSL doesn't require a person to trust in Jesus by that name. In some languages, Jesus is known as "Yeshua" or "Isa", not "Jesus", so it's not the string of letters that is essential to the name of Jesus, but rather some minimal set of traits in the person associated with that name, that makes the name really the name of Jesus. MSL does require trust in Legitimacy/the good/God in multiple persons, does require that that God take on the form of a limited personal being such as we are and die, and I think (although I'd have to check), most of what Jesus teaches in the Sermon on the Mount (one exception being his call to keep the Law) are implied by MSL. I think if you want to implement the idea of a good God, and a good God in human form, according to MSL's view of God and goodness, you might well recreate many or most of the sets of traits of Jesus, when looking at the person of Legitimacy who takes on limited form, such that it makes sense to give that person the name of Jesus. However, not having spelled out all of the essential traits of Jesus, nor of all the implications of MSL, I can't say that MSL preaches Jesus, exactly. If it doesn't, it gets people relatively close to trust in Jesus, but that might not be close enough for the comfort of some traditional evangelicals.

(If the name "Jesus" or something etymologically similar is one of the minimal essential traits that identify Jesus, then MSLians could easily use that name to refer to the person of Legitimacy that resembles the Biblical Jesus. I've used "the Son" before in MSL contexts, which might also be adequate. I suppose this is only a fair thing to do if we can identify the other minimal essential traits of the Biblical Jesus as well as the full MSL conception of its "Son", and the two line up sufficiently that they refer to the same being.)

However, New Wine Christianity (as opposed to the MSL natural theology) holds Jesus as high as any other kind of Christianity. Evangelical Christians do not need to convert to MSL, but rather to New Wine Christianity, if they find the ideas held in common between MSL and the New Wine System convincing.

Yet they still might be concerned about the existence of MSL. Could MSL be leading people astray, to 99% of what it takes to be saved (having an understanding of the limited person of God that almost amounts to the Jesus that is the way, truth, and life), but stop them before going 100% (really believing in Jesus)? From one perspective, we could say "well, among all the not-100% versions of the truth that are out there, this one is better than most". But I'm sensitive to concerns about coming up with something that is 99% right and therefore highly trust-producing but which is fatal by not going the full distance. I think (I hope I've said this before and say it later by way of emphasis) that MSL naturally calls us to say "we don't know everything that we might need to know about God and we're listening to hear the answer". An MSLian certainly should listen to a traditional evangelical talk about Jesus, and I think naturally would welcome hearing about their ideas and considering adopting them. Why not become a Christian, at least in some minimal sense? Hopefully that (if put into practice as much as it should be) would reduce the danger of MSLians not hearing the truth about Jesus that traditional evangelicals possess. I don't think the world (in this life, at least) is ever completely safe, nor is any state of affairs not at all apt for concern. The traditional evangelical must consider the danger that they are wrong and MSL is right, just as the MSLian should consider the danger that they are wrong and traditional evangelicalism is right.

What if the New Wine System causes us to not be as concerned with converting non-believers, given that they can be converted in the next life (according to the New Wine System), and we miss opportunities to convert them in this life which is all we get for this task (according to traditional evangelicalism)? This is a fair concern, and I can see a real risk here. One way to resolve the tension is epistemic. If the truth says the danger is "here" and not "there", then that settles what to do. (Though I'm trying to talk about risk management in this section, ultimately you should believe what's true rather than focusing on trying to be safe.) I think the New Wine System is favored by the truth, but the reader should make up their own mind.

It may be the case that the New Wine System is more effective at producing conversions than traditional evangelicalism. Traditional evangelical conversionism is something I would expect to produce a strong feeling at one point in life which may or may not lead to a lifelong commitment. It's a good way to increase a church's size in the short run. But what kind of people become leaders in a church?

What if churches were full of people who were leaders, who were examples of people living like there's something other than human flourishing that matters or in some other way were deeply and genuinely living like God exists, and who were deeply and genuinely concerned about their neighbors' spiritual lives (that they aim toward the person of God consciously, and that they come into tune with God morally even if they sometimes do that unconscious of the person of God). The New Wine System might be expected to increase congregants' seriousness as Christians at the same time as it decreased (but not to zero) their emphasis on having to convert people in this life. Possibly more people would become the kind of people who could convert others, by increasing their own trustworthiness through the pursuit of holiness, and by taking their faith seriously enough to love and reach out to the people who don't have it, even if their individual urgency to convert decreased. It could be the case that the New Wine System would perform well from a conversionist point of view (although that remains to be seen).

Another perspective is that the church universal is an ecosystem. Traditional evangelicals are effective at conversionism, but they sometimes are "wretched". People who are converted by traditional evangelicalism but don't do well in traditional evangelical churches leave -- perhaps they leave Christianity entirely. Or perhaps they go to a PNE, liberal/mainline, progressive, Catholic, or Orthodox church (maybe even fundamentalism would sound better than traditional evangelicalism to some). Each of these variants of Christianity provide homes that people might like to stay in -- they are not all in line with the truth (they couldn't all be since they differ from each other doctrinally), but they serve a purpose.

The existence of New Wine doctrine allows PNE, and possibly also liberal/mainline and progressive Christianity to move in a more evangelical direction -- and thus as a byproduct produce more conversions. The New Wine System is more congruent with PNE (and maybe some liberal/mainline and progressive) Christian cultures, would be more fitting for the kind of people attending there.

From this, a committed traditional evangelical might look on the New Wine System as being among a number of doctrines that are not completely valid, but not the worst of them. And possibly also as a less-risky thing to consider believing and recommending to others.

Some editing issues explain the redundancy of the following paragraph:

That goes for New Wine Christianity. But MSL might sound risky, still, if it does not insist on the name of Jesus. I think that the exact same belief can move one person closer to the truth, and another person further. It's possible for MSL to move people from atheism and non-Christian spirituality toward theism, and while MSL does not force people to accept the Bible logically, it does recommend the Bible to some extent, I think. (I haven't done all the thinking that I feel I should on this subject, but on the surface, because MSL sounds like a proto-Christianity or minimalist Christianity, it makes Christian scriptures seem like they might be from God. And, as I said before, an MSLian should have the sense that they may not know enough about God.) Depending on how things turn out, this could lead non-Christians to become Christians who otherwise wouldn't have, although the risk remains that some people would think that the name of Jesus wasn't necessary for salvation, given that an intermediate step in becoming a Christian did not insist on that.

Maybe practically speaking, we should seek to prefer, act, and trust according to both MSL and traditional evangelicalism (should both aim for complete holiness and seek to convert and be converted). If those were the only two versions of the purported truth out there, I think it would be easy for me to try to satisfy both personally, and emphasize both in my behavior to other people. I feel like MSL "has nothing against" conversion, and traditional evangelicalism "has nothing against" holiness. I personally find MSL and the Bible the only options I'm interested in obeying, and so that doesn't seem like a huge leap to me, and perhaps the reader is in the same situation. Then, neither belief system is practically speaking risky from the other's perspective.

But, if I'm trying to be openminded, I consider the possibility of views like Islam, or "Christianity+" religions like Roman Catholicism and Mormonism. Do I have to satisfy Muslim doctrine? I think MSL rules out Islam's insistence on its version of the oneness of God (this is not my official opinion, but seems like a safe guess about the Islam I've heard of). I can't satisfy both Islam and Christianity at the same time. But could I satisfy Catholic or Mormon Christianity along with the Christianity of the 66 book canon I grew up with? I don't know. What if there was some little sect of Christianity, 200 members strong, in some obscure part of the world, that taught that salvation requires a certain kind of faith in God, the real faith that died out in the first century, a specific kind of faith that they know about, and this is the only way to avoid hell? So I have to have their kind of faith? What if it conflicts with MSL and traditional evangelical faith? Can I know that such a sect does not exist and that they are not right? Sure, they are small and thus I might claim are insignificant, but the church was small in the first century.

Is it easy to know the truth, and know that you know the truth, sufficient to prefer, act, and trust so that you are saved? Maybe not. If not, and God exists, and God loves you, and God wants to achieve what satisfies his desires, wouldn't he provide you a way to come to know whatever truth is needed for salvation, whether in this life or a later one? This is essentially an argument against traditional evangelicalism and for something like MSL. This doesn't mean that it doesn't matter what we believe in this life, but that the significance of, what kind of beliefs we believe in this life, is diluted by the provision of God for an afterlife where hopefully the epistemic environment for our trusting of God is more favorable. (If it's useful in saving us, I think we will be given clarity someday.)

Are traditional evangelicals more afraid of hell than they believe that God exists, loves us, and wants to achieve what satisfies his desires? If so, then it makes sense to be suspicious of MSL and the New Wine System. Otherwise, no.

What about "dark evangelicalism"?

This section is somewhat of a footnote or note to myself, not as well-thought-out, and weirder.

Someone could object that maybe God is not ultimately in control enough of the process of salvation, such that he can't guarantee a clearing-up of salvation doctrine later. This does not sound like traditional evangelicalism, whose God is simply omnipotent. But one could imagine a dark evangelicalism, where people need to hear about God in this life to be saved, and God is powerless to give them a second chance.

God really loves, and God doesn't want any of us to be lost. He doesn't create any of us to go to hell. God would not create us if he knew that there was a chance any of us were bound for hell at the time of creation, which would be the case if he didn't provide a way for us to be saved (like an afterlife where we could hear the truth adequately). We might end up going to hell, through the mishaps of life and our turning away from him, but to not provide something like the Millennium would be an unforced error on his part.

So now the "dark evangelical" has to claim that God is not fully or sufficiently loving. But this contradicts the Bible. The Bible says (1 John 4:8) that "God is love". If God was not fully loving, love itself would not be fully loving. Or, if "God is love" is a figure of speech for "God is loving", the love that we have comes from God (1 John 4:7), so we can't exceed God in being loving. And I would assume we can't exceed God in practical wisdom. (Although maybe a "dark evangelical" would contest that? I think creating the world would require a lot more practical wisdom than living one human life.) So if a human can figure out that it doesn't make sense to make an unforced error that prevents people from going to heaven, and doesn't do it out of love, God would also be able to figure that out, and wouldn't do it. So the Bible does not give support to the idea that God is insufficiently loving to avoid "dark evangelicalism".

A traditional evangelical (we will say) believes in "sola scriptura" and so would reject the dark position for being unbiblical. But an "MSLian" might take the dark evangelical position seriously. Is there evidence for dark evangelicalism?

Possibly some can be found in MSLN itself, at least in the first two arguments (the Metaphysical Organism (M) and simantism) (S). The idea that God has to be fully loving is developed in legitimism (L), where love is a form of value, everything that exists is at least temporarily legitimate, Legitimacy has to value what is deserving, everything that is legitimate is deserving, and so everything that is not illegitimate (something like "sinful") is something that Legitimacy must value/love/will-to-exist-forever. But if a student of MSLN does not accept L but only M or MS (S implies M), would they have any reason to think that God is loving, sufficient that he would have to be competent in choosing whether to create us?

The Metaphysical Organism, and by extension the Speaker, is a being of perfect empathy. They feel exactly what we feel. While I don't know how to measure how much unbearable pain there is in our world, I think there is a lot of it, probably unrelenting for thousands (or perhaps millions?) of years. The Metaphysical Organism/Speaker would likely understand this long duration, unrelentingness -- perhaps understand after a few weeks of the load of pain, and then think "is it worth going on?" If they decided to, it would be an action of love, tested over the years by the constant or near-constant barrage of qualia of unbearability. They would show their value for creation by the pain they were willing to bear for us. So the pain and tragedy of creation gives us a reason to think they love us enough to not create if things were going to be really hopeless.

Under M or MS, why would the MO/Speaker need us to accept Jesus as our savior? I don't know of a reason off the top of my head. Why would they require any particular thing for salvation? I can understand them not being able to keep us around if we insist on doing unbearable things or being unbearable to them. But otherwise, why would we have to do any particular thing, like make a decision for Jesus? In MSL, it makes some sense because part of being legitimate is to trust/follow Legitimacy and if Jesus is who he says he is, he is part of Legitimacy. Accepting someone like Jesus is part of MSL. But it's not as clearly a part of M or MS.

A reason why the Speaker could be known to love us is because he created the simantic word of "love", and so understands it deeply himself. Thus, if we can apprehend it and participate in it, we know what he knows. If we know that love is greater than its competitors, he knows that, and will see love as we do, so that he will only create if there is a chance for each of us to be saved. (He know sadism (for instance) as well, but perhaps if you understand love and sadism perfectly, you will always automatically choose love as the best, and sadism as not measuring up.)

--

People think they have experiences of God. Probably they do sometimes, if it's sufficiently possible that God exists. Is God loving? I think for most people (maybe even in different religions?) he is. God is supposed to be trustworthy, and somehow he tells us he is. Not everyone experiences him this way necessarily, but I would guess it's the majority view and maybe that should count for some kind of evidence.

Maybe we could view religious experience as experience with spirits (some of whom claim to be God, or working for God), as opposed to with God. If the spirits are trustworthy (we know from relating to them), maybe if they tell us that God is loving, we should believe them?

--

If something claims our practical attention (our trust and/or obedience), if the credence we can give it is below a certain amount, it's as likely as so many other conflicting things that it's not worth worrying about. Can dark evangelicalism rise above that threshold? It's an open question. Can it be deemed likely enough, and also recommend a clear-enough course of action, that we can trust and/or obey it?

Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Turn Toward Politics

What are the most pressing problems in the world? Where should those looking to do the most good go? One obvious problem is X-risk. The most urgent X-risk, I suppose, is insufficiently-aligned ASI.

In the world where ASI kills us all, that's that. In the world where it doesn't, though, what then? Does it not kill us because it obeys some human or group of humans? Or is it because it values our well-being, having been programmed to do so? (Maybe then it's a "benevolent dictator"?) Or could it have been programmed with a respect for us, maybe such that it is a minimalist world government protecting our agency. Maybe it wants us to figure out the Long Reflection, and, since morality for some reason has something to do with human instincts, defers to us to define what is of value.

If ASI has enough "respect" for us and our decision-making abilities, or is programmed explicitly to obey certain persons or groups, then humans may or will in some sense still be masters of the ASI, no matter how much smarter it is than us.

So what might happen in the future, is that the bottlenecks to altruism on a high level will no longer be in the economic-technological world, but instead will be in coming up with political will to unify people to make important decisions (or to not be in a state of conflict with each other -- "cold" conflict if outright war is suppressed by the ASI), and also to manage the danger of bad unities (totalitarianism, for instance). ASI can provide arbitrary amounts of economic and technological development (perhaps), but can't do anything about the human political order, by its own (self-)limitation.

So those who want to do good (whether secular or religious), who have a personal fit for the political world (and adjacent areas like religion, art, and whatever else goes into "culture"), or who simply can't help in much of a direct way with whatever other things might seem more urgent as of 2022 (AI alignment, other X-risk aversion, etc.) -- they could turn toward politics (and areas adjacent to it).

Monday, September 26, 2022

Cultural Altruism (Hubs)

(...some kind of...) status: I drafted much of this under the influence of hypomania, to the extent that I don't feel like it belongs to me, and I probably won't follow up on it. But maybe other people will see its value for themselves.

Writing about endless grad school makes me think of local hubs. The effective altruists discuss this on the EA Forum.

One thing that the effective altruists don't do (yet, as far as I know) is try to work with culture. They do some movement building, and that does get their values out in the world. But they are more focused on more "tangible" things.

I am personally more interested in culture. I think that's a more natural thing for a religious person to care about than for a secular person. Most EAs are secular.

Cultural altruism would try to understand culture deeply, find the best values, and find effective ways to spread those values. The spreading of those values would be a good in itself, and downstream of them, there would often be other goods. For instance, patience is good in itself, but also produces people who endure and don't react too much to the present moment, which enables them to make long-lasting institutions.

There would be secular goods that came out of cultural altruism. For instance, designing cultures that kept people from choosing anti-natalism, from apathy with regard to X-risk prevention, or from wireheading. A very normatively-uncertain EA might not want to lock in any of their values, thinking that we need a "Long Reflection" to be very, very sure that we have the right ones. But, if we all die before we can engage in that, presumably we are pretty sure there would be no value at that point for anyone to find valuable, or no valuers to find anything valuable. So we at minimum want to bias culture away from things like anti-natalism and apathy with regard to X-risk prevention. And maybe we would think that no rational Long Reflection would yield wireheading as the best outcome for humanity, but it could be something that "just happens" to emerge in our society due to cultural drift. And there are other secular goods, like caring for animals and the environment, which might be threatened by cultural evolution and which cultural altruism could protect. If you're passionate about something now, it makes sense to try to make sure other people are passionate about it, and will be in the long run.

[This post is one that I may link outside this blog. For those from outside, "MSLN" is a natural-theological religious and ethical worldview that I work to develop.]

There would be religious goods. Speaking for MSLN, some goods are preventing hardening; increasing people's love for God; from a more Biblical perspective, connecting people to the God of the Bible so that they love him completely. Just like civilization as a whole, the Church can evolve into better or worse states, from both a secular and a religious or theistic perspective. (In this paragraph, I've focused on Christianity, but in principle cultural altruism could be an interesting pursuit for people from other religions or spiritual traditions.)

Cultural altruism would be a topic. Topics create scenes of interested people, some of whom come to the discussion with fundamental disagreements about values. Multiple different social movements can take up the topic of cultural altruism and thereby participate in the scene of the topic of cultural altruism.

Disagreement is good to prevent Tower of Babel-like scenarios, and scenes are good ways to harbor disagreement. An intentionally self-critical organization might sound like it could be as good as a scene for avoiding blind spots. Maybe better in that it can intentionally avoid blind spots, and scenes lack intentionality on some levels. The advantage of scenes are that they allow individuals to participate but still stand outside any social ties. Scenes can consist of both organizations and individuals.

Cultural altruism as a social thing could be viewed in a somewhat abstract way as having a "Meta" dimension and a "Partisan" dimension. The Meta dimension consists of the institutions (shared expectations), social spaces, people, organizations, etc. that work to make it so that cultural altruism is "one thing" that interrelates. Including something like "we are all human beings who communicate with each other in one community of people in order to arrive at some kind of essential unity in our beliefs, practices and so on". The Partisan dimension consists of the institutions, social spaces, people, organizations, etc. that are sold out to one particular view of reality, and which work to remain unconvinced of other points of view, or even to convert all other points of view to their own.

(Another view of "meta" vs. "partisan", taken from my notes:)

Metans work cooperatively, politely, prosocially, ideally in a coordinated way, agnostic about values, agnostic about methods, inclusive, emphasis on coming to know the truth, opposed to conflict. Partisans are those who want things to be true, or know them to be true but can't explain them to other people yet, or care enough about things to be rude, anti- or asocial, disregarding coordination or consensus, believing in values even if they are unpopular or go against all people being in one harmonious body, emphasizing the truth that is already known and which might be denied by other people in culture war.

One might naively think that the Meta view is the only valid view, and that it is right for us to converge on it directly (optimize for unity, or for the smooth operation of the cultural altruism process, instead of the truth), but it could be the case that one of the Parties is much more in tune with the reality of what ought to be than everyone else, and it would be a huge mistake to turn the Meta view into a Party of its own, suppressing what was actually the right party.

Most people and organizations end up somewhere between Meta and Partisan. Both dimensions are needed and even if we as a culture feel fairly confident and safe in our future / eventual ethical/religious worldview, we should have the discipline to be open to finding out that we are wrong, and thus encourage people to form opposition Parties and to be Partyless critics. Even if we are right, we should be concerned that we might be wrong. We should always feel a virtuous kind of fear.

(Why not say "Meta" and "Mesa" or "Liberal" and "Partisan"? I think that the culture that would say "Meta"/"Mesa" is more in tune with "Meta" vibes and values, and the culture that would say "Liberal"/"Partisan" is more in tune with "Partisan" vibes and values.)

A hub would be a favorable place to site the scene of cultural altruism. In some ways, the Internet is ideal as a hub for that scene (in parallel to how the EA Forum, or Twitter, or whatever else, can be a low-cost, asynchronous, global hub). But in-person scenes have their virtues. For some reason, Silicon Valley, which is made of tech companies, still finds being physically located in the Bay Area to be essential, rather than becoming a purely online presence. I think the Internet is good at providing information on-demand, but is relatively bad at connecting people to each other, so that they can expand each other's minds or find each other's values (as lived out) more deeply compelling than they did before, because of their personal contact. Also, culture is not just what we read or can watch or listen to on our computers (text, images, audio, video and whatever else computers are well-suited to conveying), but also what kind of body language we use, what kinds of semi-intentional responses we make to what people say in the moment, the subtle look of fear, deadness, or delight that is "in our eyes", the kinds of interpersonal bonds we form, physical touch, the way we move together through environments and so on, which computers are not as well-suited to conveying. A cultural hub should be a scene for interested thinkers (or doers) to practice their observation of culture on other people around them, but also on each other. This way, they can understand the full meaning of their own beliefs about which values are good and how to seek those values.

That paragraph raises the possibility of very high quality virtual reality making the physical location of social hubs irrelevant. I don't really know how long it will take for a sufficiently high quality virtual reality to exist, but, maybe it will come about soon, and make locality less relevant. I think that even if I had a really high quality VR headset, I would want to take it off because it was a headset, and also would want to interact with people in my physical environment because, why not? We could view VR and "regular reality" as both being streams of experience (something my basically Berkeleian worldview is sympathetic to) and even in many ways indistinguishable, but I have a "default reality" which I always can connect to ("regular reality"), and which I always have around, and which I can't change as easily as my "optional realities" (VRs). So I'm still localized to some extent. I don't know how that affects considerations of where to locate a hub. Maybe it mostly affects what kinds of people I live with. But then, the people I live with and I could like to live in a place where our near neighbors were a certain way, and then we could find those near neighbors in some place (region, city, town, camp, etc.), and then we get a thicker form of locality and maybe enough to make discussions of physically-located cultural hubs matter.

(I can see physical locality being a scarcer and more expensive good which is spent to form connections with people who are more special to us.)

[Maybe the cultural altruists would themselves form a people group and want to have their own locality. I guess this could cut against their cosmopolitanism. But, I would guess that cultural altruism, like being a missionary, is a role that has specific demands, one of which is both a connection with and alienation from established cultures, perhaps all established cultures (being a "third culture" person). So it might make sense for cultural altruists to lend each other support by identifying with each other and forming more committed bonds.]

We might think of cultural altruism as a basically rational thing. So, we examine many different cultures, decide -- are persuaded -- which premises to accept as valid, and then apply sound reasoning to produce an overall view of cultural truth.

I like to think of reason as the interrelationship of all truths. For me, that is done both rationally and intuitively, and the valid data points / pieces of evidence / starting premises for rational/intuitive reason can both be put into words, and not. We gather some of our intuitive premises by interacting with other beings who intuit (humans, or even sometimes animals), absorbing their intuitions intuitively. This may require physical presence. (Maybe not, maybe 100% of this kind of intuition is transmitted through sense experience, which sufficiently good VR can effectively simulate?)

Where would I locate a hub for cultural altruism? Well, I'm not much of a researcher, so I will make the case for where I currently live, and if anyone cares about this topic, they can make the cases for other places and see if any of them seem like clear winners. Then, if there are any people who want to move to those places, they can, and help form the hub.

A hub would at minimum have people living close enough to each other to see each other face to face if they want to. They might build institutions on top of the hub (startups, art groups, educational groups, religious groups, scenes, etc.) if there are enough people and occasion.

A hub should have some way to enter it. For instance, one or more guest houses (perhaps group houses that are guest houses) for people who want to visit, or who want to move there but need to look around for a place to move to.

Perhaps a hub needs some other kind of minimum infrastructure.

A cultural altruism hub would most ideally have a connection to all cultures, past, present, future, in all parts of the world, integrating all of these cultures into its own understanding of what culture should be, and then having an outlet into all the cultures of the present and future world; connecting people face to face to accomplish all of the above. Past cultures accessed through history, archaeology, or other study. Present cultures through face to face contact and media. Future cultures through imagination and educated guessing.

Nowhere on Earth could be that ideal place. But, there could be places that have their advantages in pursuing that ideal, and which could be more ideal than others, making for natural sites for hubs.

Cultural altruism hub in San Diego

(This develops into something more like "cultural altruism hub involving Los Angeles, San Diego, Tijuana, Imperial Valley, Mexicali, Mexicali Valley".)

San Diego is a sleepy place, but has the amenities of a medium-sized American city. I have sometimes wished it were a more passionate place, but what it lacks in passion it makes up for (maybe) in not having distractions. To me it feels like "nothing is going on". Silicon Valley is a hub for technology, LA is a hub for movies and music, New York City is a hub for theater, literature, finance, etc., Boston has a lot of universities, Washington, D.C. has the federal government, Nashville has music. Further, there are places like Portland, OR, and Austin which are "cool places for young people to go and hang out in". (For some reason I don't hear about Chicago but it's probably more exciting than San Diego.)

San Diego (so I read recently) has the largest concentration of US military servicemembers in the US. I'm not sure exactly what that means, but the military is big here. That could count as a distraction for some, or as an opportunity for others, in culturally altruistic work. I don't feel like most culturally-inclined people are into the military that much. By contrast, I could see cultural altruists getting caught up in movies, music, theater, literature, universities, government / politics, and maybe finance and technology. And certainly in "hanging out" like in Portland or Austin.

San Diego is a place that to me feels like a sunset, that mixture of the end of time and endless time that comes at the end of a day. That might be a very subjective, personal thing, but it makes me feel far-sighted, and that vibe might be good for cultural altruism, if it has a longtermist dimension to it.

(Someone from San Diego I used to know said that when he came back to San Diego to visit, he felt a kind of sadness in San Diego.)

I feel like San Diego is a cultural backwater, and that may be helpful for people who need to get away from the present moment and think deeply.

To the west is the Pacific Ocean, which I think has a big influence on San Diego. If you've ever been to the beach and came away with the feeling that the crashing waves make in you, sort of quieted inside, that's a thing that influences San Diego whenever people get back from the beach. The weather is also mild, because of the ocean.

To the east is the mountains and then desert. The mountains are small and manageable as far as mountains go, so it's not hard to make it to the desert. There is affordable semi-desert land about an hour east by car (last I checked a few years ago). (If you need to build your own retreat center, for instance.) There is a desert influence over the city because it often enough has warm or hot dry weather, sometimes hot, dry winds.

While San Diego may be sleepy, there is excitement to the north and south. Los Angeles is a cultural capital. Tijuana is in another country, a developing country (although a higher-income one), is Spanish-speaking instead of English-speaking, and has issues with drug cartels. LA is about two or three hours away. Tijuana is about 30 min to enter, and a few hours to return from, plus whatever moving around you have to do in Mexico.

(According to one site, the highest average crossing time, when returning from Tijuana is 120 min. at 8AM. [One sampled day sometime between April and August 2022, not sure if it's typical.])

Spiritual/religious: San Diego has a reputation as having a nice vibe. Los Angeles does not have a nice vibe. I don't know about Tijuana, since I haven't been there in a long time. Nice vibes connect with nice spirits, for whatever that's worth. San Diego is a fairly religious place. I think along with LA it's the most religious major city on the West Coast. I have casually run into Osho adherents, various kinds of Eastern meditation / martial arts / medicine etc. practitioners, New Age people, Western Buddhists, one or possibly two occult people. I visited Oakland a few years ago and found myself casually running into evidence of a political scene, and I think someone in San Diego might similarly be impressed by evidence of a East/West religious/spiritual fusion scene.

While I have run into Muslims and Baha'is in San Diego, they are not as prominent, and I haven't had much experience with Hindus. I have never encountered a Sikh in San Diego. There are Mormons and Jehovah's Witnesses (I put them in this paragraph because some people don't count them as Christian.) There are two main Jewish neighborhoods that I know of.

The Christians in San Diego do not strike me as being above-average in passion or conviction. Whether this reflects more a real spiritual lack or more the "cultural weather", I don't know. (I'm not sure that anything in San Diego is above-average in passion or conviction, at least emotionally -- so if you are going to be passionate or convicted here, you will go farthest by channeling it through something else, like focus or persistence.) I tend to think that the world is less passionate than it should or could be, and this includes San Diego.

(I don't have enough experience with the other religions, to say in their case.)

San Diego has some cultural resources. Balboa Park is sort of like our Central Park, with museums and lots of random spaces worked into it for different activities. It has four fairly large universities, complete with university libraries (SDSU, UCSD, USD, and CSU San Marcos). It has the Athenaeum Music and Arts Library, a private library open to members; membership not too hard to afford. The public library system is adequate. You can check out university library books through the public library system. There are a few used bookstores.

I'm not as much into art or dance, so I don't know how it compares to other places in that regard. I've heard that it is something like a decent regional theater city.

Popular art/entertainment wise, if you really want to go out, there's usually something to do, and major bands usually have a stop here. The open mic scene used to be fairly strong, before the pandemic, but I think is not so strong right now. There is one "major league" team (baseball), and some "minor league" level professional sports. San Diego may be a real center of craft beer and Southern California-style Mexican food. There are a decent number of cafes.

There are a number of immigrant communities. I'm guessing mostly the same as in other US cities. (I've run into Middle Eastern, East African, other African, some Carribbean, Southeast Asian, East Asian, Mexican and Central American, other Latin American, Russian, Pacific Islander, and Indian.) Some of these have noticeable cultural presences (radio stations, festivals, businesses).

There is an African-American community. I would guess that it is of average vibrancy and size as compared to other US cities of the same size. [It is big / vibrant enough to support a weekly print newspaper (San Diego Voice and Viewpoint), and another online periodical (San Diego Monitor News).]

There are American Indians / Native Americans. There are some reservations in the back country. [They may sometimes have public events going on or other ways to interact with them.]

San Diego used to be more conservative than liberal, but it has been shifting "blue" and strikes me as a basically moderate place. It shouldn't be too hard to find liberals (in the "vote Democrat" sense) and conservatives ("vote Republican") as well as moderates and apolitical people. I don't think San Diego is the best place to find intellectualized politics (like the kind of people who care a lot about the distinction between "left" and "liberal" or between "neoconservative" and "paleoconservative") although I would guess there are some people one could find here who are into that.

As mentioned above, there is a large military presence.

San Diego is definitely a car-oriented place. Traffic isn't too bad (better than LA). It is possible to get around via mass transit if you have a lot of time on your hands. Walking isn't too bad, if you have the time, although there are some areas (like I would guess in most American cities) that were not very well-designed for pedestrians.

Cost of living is fairly high, (although not as high as in the Bay Area or New York), so if you were to move here, you would hopefully find a job with high-enough wages. It's possible to get by on SSI in San Diego (~$1,000 a month), if you're thrifty (and maybe adventurous). $20,000 to $25,000 might be a more realistic budget for what you spend on yourself each year, if you're living a simple but reasonable lifestyle.

(There are probably things I'm missing.)

Practical summary so far: San Diego combines the amenities of a medium-sized metro area with a sleepy vibe and a certain distance from where "things are happening". There are probably other places in the US like it. Where it might have an advantage on other such places is its access to Los Angeles and Tijuana. In San Diego, one can look to the farther future. In LA, to the present or nearer future and to part of the cultural industry. In Tijuana, a taste of the developing world. This does strike me as a pretty strong combination, which might make San Diego a contender for a hub for cultural altruism.

Applications to other cities: Some similar places that stand out in my mind: Montreal (French, English, sort of close to New York City (~6 hrs by car), may be easier to immigrate to than US), somewhere in the Balkans (Orthodox, Catholic, secular, Muslim, somewhere between developed and developing), somewhere in India (Hindu, different kinds of Hindu, Sikh, Jain, Muslim, developing world) -- maybe in or near Mumbai as a parallel to Los Angeles. (San Diego has secular, Catholic, Protestant, Anglophone, Latin American, developed, developing.)

Some other major cultures maybe not covered by San Diego plus the above: Chinese, Japanese, Buddhist, Taoist, African, especially African tribal, Aborigine, maybe others. It depends on how strong of representation you want. San Diego has some Chinese, Japanese, Buddhist, Taoist, African, possibly some African tribal although maybe not. But not necessarily a really strong presence of any of those (as far as I've seen casually), compared to other parts of the world.

(Where Singapore meets Malaysia, there's a significant binational, developed-developing boundary. According to Wikipedia, Malaysia is majority-Muslim, with a significant Buddhist minority (and Christianity, Hinduism, and Chinese folk religions between 10% and 1%). Singapore has a Buddhist plurality, and significant secular, Christian, and Muslim minorities, (and Taoism and Hinduism between 10% and 1% each). *** It sounds pretty good for a hub location, except I'm not sure about freedom of speech / freedom to proselytize which the US is pretty good at, and I think probably Mexico as well. Cultural altruism might engage in troublesome speech, or directly pursue, or accidentally seem to pursue, activities that amount to proselytizing, on some level. Wikipedia makes it seem that Singapore is okay with religions "propagating" themselves, and Cru (Christian evangelical organization) has a public website for their efforts there. Cultural altruism could certainly have political and social dimensions and the government of Singapore could conceivably not like that or suppress that. It looks like Malaysia is a secular state that defines its majority population (Malays) as Muslim, and as recently as 2012 there were tensions over fears that Christians might be converting Malays. So Malaysia might be a riskier place to site a cultural altruism hub. *** However, San Diego (and to a lesser extent LA) may be biased by its blanket of safety. A "blanket of riskiness" might be a good influence on the kind of multidisciplinary thinking and relating that a cultural altruism hub engages in, to balance out a kind of overly-chill and/or timid SoCal/US vibe. (Tijuana helps to balance this out, but maybe not as strongly as other parts of the world.)) I feel like I'm going beyond my intuitions in recommending Singapore-Malaysia, like I'm not making a serious suggestion, but that feeling may significantly or entirely come from my integration into the San Diego / USA / Western habitus that I'm used to responding to. *** As noted later in this post, Singapore may be more open to visiting (not requiring visa) than the US or even Mexico.)

(Indonesia, at least superficially, looks interesting. The national ideology (pancasila) is about "unity in diversity", and is sort of secular and sort of religious. A similar mix of religions as Malaysia. Indonesia has a long history of religious syncretism, which fits a cultural altruism hub. (I think Malaysia has this too, but possibly there are differences between Indonesia and Malaysia that might make one more favorable than the other.) Indonesia is relatively close to Singapore, but not as close as Malaysia.)

I'm not sure if there are other ways to see into the future other than the San Diego way. (Assuming that San Diego is uniquely good at the "sunset" style of relating to the future, maybe there are other styles.) If there are, that would be a factor for other cultural altruism hubs. (The Bay Area is maybe an obvious alternative, or any other EA/rationalist hubs. Note that San Diego is about a day away from the Bay Area by car or train, or a relatively short plane flight away.)

(I'm very used to the vibe I get from San Diego, and it's a bias. Every place has a vibe, and every vibe is a bias. Maybe the best approach to balance things out would be to find a cultural center that feels like a different phase of time, like the beginning of day, or an ongoing noon-time. Possibly LA or Tijuana feels like an ongoing noon-time, and balances out San Diego?)

Also, what about rural life? That's something San Diego is not as good at. Possibly somewhere in the Balkans or India would be better at that. But rural life is different in different countries. (Actually, there is a farming community about 1.5 hours east by car, in the Imperial Valley, and also one across the border from the Imperial Valley in Baja California.)

Mentioning air travel opens up the possibilities for cities to connect with distant places. For instance, maybe people in the Bay Area could fly to Tijuana, and the Bay could be a hub. I just looked up flights [sometime between April and August 2022] from LA to Tijuana and they were about $65. San Francisco to Tijuana look to be about $150. That's one way. But taking the San Diego Trolley to the San Ysidro crossing could be as low as $2.50, at the very most possible $6. The time cost of going to the airport and waiting for a flight, and actually flying (from LA or SF) is probably comparable to taking mass transit to the border, or possibly greater. Obviously San Diego is at a disadvantage to LAX (and SFO) for most other international destinations.

Driving from LA to Tijuana might be somewhat competitive. Gas and maintenance costs for the car would make it more expensive than SD mass transit, and the time cost could be a bit more. Mass transit from Mid City San Diego to the San Ysidro Port of Entry is somewhere around 1.5 to 2 hours (but starting downtown or further south can be less). Driving from what looks on the map like central LA (downtown?) is about 2.5 hours. Driving from Mid City San Diego is about 0.5 hours (and again, could be less if you live further south in San Diego County).

Crossing back into the US takes a few hours, depending on time of day or whatever affects the number of people trying to cross. This is true for all overland travel, but maybe isn't as true for air travel? That might reduce some of San Diego's advantage.

Maybe a better way to implement the San Diego hub would be to have people living in LA and Tijuana as well. Cultural altruists could live in non-hub places and be "correspondents" online to share information about their local cultures, or could come to a hub to share their experiences in person.

One major caveat with hubs is that they are provincial / can over-represent what is near to them. There's that famous picture of the US as seen by a New Yorker. I know more about New York than I have a reason to because it is a cultural hub where writers like to set things. (I have never been there myself.) I suspect that there is something parallel going on with the Bay, London, Oxford/Cambridge, etc. (EA or rationalist hubs) and that this will affect how they shape the future.

The Internet is sort of like the perfect hub (except that it isn't face to face). It contains subhubs which can be just as provincial as a city.

I think hubs are very attractive if you're trying to build your own culture or community somewhat apart from the world. But, cultural altruism both would want to do some of that, and also be very aware of what is going on in (ideally) all the cultures of the world. So over-centralizing would be counterproductive. So, as much as San Diego (or other places) may have natural advantages allowing for convenient hub-building, they need "correspondents" to correct the tendency toward bias built into that convenience, and maybe cultural altruism hubs don't need to be as big as those for EA (or even less so as big as Hollywood or Silicon Valley). Instead, it's better to have many correspondents.

One kind of correspondent is the "wandering correspondent" or the outsider. These people go to different cultures and don't belong to any of them. Cultural altruism might ought to cultivate or preserve a sense of otherness within its sameness, or outsiderness even if it can have belonging.

A place like Tijuana is useful to a San Diegan because it could give the San Diegan some of the sensitivities for how a developing country works. They might gain a list of hypotheses to ask of any developing country situation. But, these would only be questions, and would have to be answered by the specific reality of whatever other developing country a San Diegan was thinking about.

Cultural altruism would attempt to influence the cultures of the world, and the best way to do that would be vulnerably, with the cultures affecting the cultural altruists back. (Try to reduce power as broken relationship.)

What if people from the developing world want to participate in the cultural altruism hub? It's difficult for them to immigrate to most or all developed nations, but maybe not so difficult to immigrate to Mexico (would have to check on this[*]). If so, they could live in Tijuana, and while they might not be able to cross the border, cultural altruists in San Diego could meet them in person relatively easily by themselves crossing. The San Ysidro crossing (westernmost between San Diego and Tijuana) is one of the busiest international border crossing points in the world, so that gives an idea that many people live that kind of lifestyle. (A failure mode of having developing world people move to Tijuana would be that over time, they would lose touch with their home countries and become more Mexican, or even more American. So maybe this would make more sense for developing world people who aren't relied on as the only sources of information about their home cultures.)

[* This Quora link makes it sound like, with an income, it's not hard to legally immigrate to Mexico, and I have a hard time imagining it could be easier to legally immigrate to the US. I tried figuring out this Quora link about Canada, for reference, and am left with the rough sense that it's easier than the US, but harder than Mexico. Tourist visas for US and Mexico both last 180 days, which is good enough for a lot of people. (Tijuanans who want to visit San Diego could do so, although it would be more of a process than for San Diegans to visit Tijuana.) ... ... I came across this post by Luke Eure about how Kenyan visas to go to US don't get processed due to staffing shortages / lack of interview slots at th US embassy in Nairobi. This suggests that there is a difference between de facto and de jure openness to visiting. I'm not sure one way or the other whether Mexico is really de facto more willing/able to process visas than the US. Immigration to US (rather than visiting) does still seem to be significantly harder than to Mexico de jure, to the point that I still guess that it's easier de facto to move to Mexico even if Mexico has some difficulty processing people. But maybe there could be more research done here. Eure's post mentions that Singapore was a workable destination for people from Kenya wanting to visit an EA event. Singapore apparently doesn't require a visa.]

Are there good places in Baja California for futuristic thinking, for developing world people who want to do that? (Places that are relatively safe, peaceful, and/or disconnected from the present moment.) There is open land in Baja California, and cost of developing it is (I would assume) more reasonable than in the US, so maybe a kind of retreat could be built there. Or maybe existing developments can be bought or rented. A quick search engine check gives a result saying non-Mexicans can buy land in Mexico (even near the border or ocean), but it's a little more complicated (according to this 2021 page: https://wise.com/us/blog/buy-property-in-mexico).

Are the geographical characters of Los Angeles, San Diego, Tijuana and the Imperial Valley going to stay the same in the long run? It isn't completely clear.

San Diego will probably always be a relatively pleasant place to live, but water shortages may make it a more expensive place to live (same with Los Angeles). San Diego will probably always be a sleepy place to live (relative to such national/global capitals as LA, Bay Area, Washington, D.C. and New York City), and I don't see the military leaving (a nice natural harbor).

Los Angeles may be a less culturally important city, because the film industry may weaken. As it becomes easier to make decent-looking low budget films, and to the extent that Hollywood films are poorly-written, it may become the case that low budget filmmakers increasingly make better films than Hollywood, more profitable relative to initial investment, and even ones that are more popular. Low budget filmmakers don't need to be as connected to networks of finance. But, it's true that they would need a pool of acting and production talent, which may naturally centralize in hubs, and LA will remain one. But it might not have to be as much "the center" of US filmmaking.

(Filmmakers, and their equivalents in theater, for that matter, could model themselves on bands. They practice for the love of it, and work together over the years. This way, directors don't have to find a bunch of new actors for each project. Some "photorealistic" filmmaking or theater requires faces that "look right", but more "theatrical" or "minimalist" filmmaking or theater, not so much. So that could remove some of the need for a hub. Do people want to watch the latter kind of movies that much? (Sounds like some kind of art film.) Maybe not for now, but culture is likely to go somewhere, and people get tired of whatever's mainstream sometimes.)

I'm not completely sure why there needs to be, or will be in the long run, a music industry, because music can be made by hobbyists that sounds pretty good, and they don't need any more personnel than the members of the band. But, I can see that if you want to make a lot of money in music, you need support staff, which you have to find somewhere. And also scenes are always good for the development of music, and scenes and hubs are very similar, often the same thing. So I think LA will probably remain a hub for music, but maybe not "the" center of music on the West Coast. On the other hand, LA is the second-most-populous metro area in the US, and my default assumption is that that will stay about the same in the future. So maybe it would be the biggest music hub on the West Coast, just because of that.

It's not clear what effect AI will have on music. (In this paragraph, I'm thinking of "prosaic", "narrow", or "tool" AI, a kind of "laminar" progression from what we have now.) Could really sophisticated AI make unimaginably good synthetic music that no humans will be able to surpass, putting all human musicians out of work? If so, would music have to be expensive? It could be even cheaper than it is now. Is cheap music as enjoyable as expensive music? I would say, no. Really expensive music might make you feel regret for having paid so much, but really cheap music is something you can gorge yourself on to the point that you have "heard it all" and find none of it special. We already have way more cheap recorded music than we really need, and maybe it's just me, but I'm not that into music anymore. But, I would be interested in being in a band. Or maybe hearing my friends play their music. Maybe AI will just kill off the professional / industrial version of music by being so ridiculously good at that. Still, if I had to pick a place to find musicians on the West Coast, LA is still where I would expect to find the most. (Maybe a lot of this paragraph also applies to the movie industry.)

Mexico will probably become less of a developing country over time (approach "developedness", whatever that is), and Tijuana will generally reflect that. I don't know how long that process of development may take. There may come a day when another city becomes a more favorable place to site a developed/developing boundary hub. Probably if Mexico is not "developing" anymore, a lot of other countries may not be either, that currently are, and the "developing nation" dimension to culture may be less important than, say, the Mexican, Ghanaian, Indonesian, Pakistani, etc. dimensions, or the "non-Western" dimensions. A big unknown for me is how immigration will work in the future, so if Mexico is currently a (relatively) good place for developing country people to immigrate to relative to immigrating to the US (something I would guess is true as of now), I don't know how much of an advantage that will be in the future.

The Imperial Valley may remain a farming community, but that depends on the availability of water. And that depends on whether California cities become serious about developing alternatives to Sierra snowpack, groundwater, and the Colorado River. Things like (even more) conservation, recycled water, or desalination. A cultural altruism hub, for its own sake, might lobby Southern California cities to free up water for the Imperial Valley, so that there would still be a rural community to study. I least expect that the Imperial Valley farming commmunity will be what it is in 100 years, compared to the other three population centers considered for this hub, but I don't think it has to go away.

[From a casual look at Calexico Chronicle headlines on Twitter, it looks like the Imperial Valley may be or want to be a lithium mining area. Also, it produces solar power.]

This all is thinking in terms of "business as usual" future. But the future may not be "business as usual". There are some extreme futures that make the project of a cultural altruism hub irrelevant or impractical. If AGI kills all humans, for instance. If for some reason civilization collapses to the point that no one can afford to centralize in one area to do this kind of work, then the hub would be impractical, although cultural altruism probably would remain very important, just as religion (traditional cultural altruism?) has been very important throughout human history.

But, there are civilizational declines or "soft collapses" in which the project might still be viable and relevant, and similarly the future in which AGI is dominant may not rule out things like locality, geography, and human culture.

Here is a scenario in which that may be the case: If AGI doesn't kill us all, it's probably because it will have been deliberately aligned with human interests. One way to do that is to make it fundamentally attuned to the will of specific humans who are in control of them. To me, as a non-AI expert, this sounds kind of simple to implement. Another way is to make an AI that pursues some kind of "human values", independent of any individual or group of individuals controlling it. This sound, to me, a non-AI expert, harder to implement. One problem is that we don't know which values to give the AI, and once we do, it might not be trivial to implement them in a way that the AI can understand. (Trying to train it for a bunch of different things instead of just one.) But, a solution that at least to me at first glance simplifies this is something like optimizing the AGI to maximize / safeguard more or less "one simple thing", our agency. Basically, the AGI tries to be a libertarian one. The AGI may prevent us from doing things like kill each other (which eliminates the victim's agency) or enslave each other, but it may leave us free to have to figure out whether to pursue a variety of values that don't threaten agency, as we see fit.

A secular person may say "well, that's the 'end of history' as far as I'm concerned", but some might not. For me, as a religious person, there is a huge amount of "history" left, which is, are people seeking God, enough and in the right way? Deliberate thinking about culture, and altruistically altering it, sound basically as relevant as ever. An agency-seeking AGI might allow for a kind of spiritual X-risk (something which causes a large amount of people to die the "second death").

Returning to a secular perspective, we might ask if this AGI would be "a human agency-seeking entity for all time, which could never change", or would it be something that humans could alter if they wanted to? Is it in the definition of "agency-seeking" to allow humans to alter the AI? Maybe, but to the extent of making it not be agency-seeking anymore? I don't think that agency-seeking can't limit the agency of people to make it not be agency-seeking anymore. However, the transition to AGI is going to be done, not in a "frictionless vacuum", but in the political world we live in, and it does seem odd that a group of technocrats can decide to force their agency-maximization-of-all-people on all people for maybe all time, even if it is a radically libertarian thing, because that in itself is an abrogation of their agency. Also, the political world is significantly captured by interest groups. Also, it is a conservative (keep things the same) and traditional (extend precedent) kind of world (keep institutions going rather than starting replacements). So I could easily see the actual agency-maximizing AGI being trained to respect human political will. Maybe it wouldn't maximize the agency of individuals, but rather political bodies.

If that's the case, then politics remains relevant, maybe "for all time", and human cultural drift becomes a powerful factor in determining what the AGI ends up doing, far into the future. It might become the case that human political and cultural problems become the major, or only, bottleneck for altruism.

I mentioned locality and geography above. Technological development may make it so that humans don't have to live in any particular place. Or so much of our lives will be lived online that the local world won't have much, if any, relevance to culture. Then, the hubs will be online. (I wonder what analogies there might be to siting a local hub when thinking about "siting" an online hub. Are there strategically valuable ways to draw people together, maybe? Are there hubs that are, more, or less, adjacent to other ones? How does adjacency in a more or less purely social space work, as compared to geographical adjacencies? Maybe something to look at in another post.)

But it could be a long time before that happens. We might choose not to adopt all of that technology. If we do, technology adoption is not instantaneous, and is slowed by social factors. Some of us, or many of us, might deliberately reject living our lives entirely online. It's true that AGI would be individually far more intelligent than everyone else on Earth, but the amount of "compute" in all the people on Earth might exceed that in AGI sufficiently that the AGI would need us to make a lot of decisions for it, and so we would still work, and we might need to be physically close to whatever processes happen at a specific location. We might be physically constrained on how much compute we can devote to AI, or we might simply decide not to give AI all the compute we possibly could, because we preferred to work, and for that matter, preferred locality and geography in themselves.

I think we are used to technological-adoption gradients inherited from a past of scarcity and competition, but there are enough people who are non-adopters of technology or late adopters, who simply wouldn't care about making the world more efficient, and would deliberately reject technological change if they weren't made to by survival constraints. When I look at the "S-curve of technology adoption", I am pretty certain that the people represented by the leftmost and rightmost parts of the graph really care about a given technology, whether opposed to it or in favor of it, but the middle part, I think, is more into what is socially acceptable or convenient, and could align just as well with the left or the right of the graph. So, as "technology" (taken as a reified whole) provides for people more, they need less loyalty to it as a value (because values ask for more of people, and the people don't need as much more from technology which would give flesh to their value of it) [they don't need any more "technology" so they don't have to consciously value it], and could align more with whatever other values there are, without necessarily ceasing to adopt all of the technology that supports that indifference to "technology".

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Another thought: simulating different lifestyles. This should have some effect on culture. Tijuana gives an unsimulated developing country city. Imperial Valley an unsimulated American rural area. Similarly with San Diego and LA. But what about trying to survive off the land? That should do something to a culture. In the US, people generally don't have to survive off the land. But there are areas where it's more practical (or called-for) to do so. (There may be areas outside the US that are favorable for this pursuit.) If you can afford to buy a large-enough plot of land, you can site a community there that tries to live in a primitive, self-sustaining way. Probably best if it's socially isolated (more of a "correspondent" place).

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Mexicali. I didn't know very much about Mexicali before beginning this post. But, it is a fairly large city (~600,000 people), located just south of the US/Mexico border near the Imperial Valley. It has a manufacturing sector. Maybe the cultures of manufacturing sectors or industrial cities are different in some way than those of other cities or rural areas? It sounds plausible. (LA has its ports, which are another industrial influence.)

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Possible Northeast US hub. I don't know that area very well, but looking on Google Maps it looks like Wilmington, DE is maybe an interesting site for a hub, because it's on the train lines to Washington, D.C. and New York, roughly equidistant. Access to two different elite cultures. Also not far from Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, with Amish and other agriculture. A different rural America from Imperial Valley. It looks like it's not far from some bays, which might have interesting cultures. Maybe not far from some Southern culture (Maryland or Virginia).

Would it make sense to have this Northeast hub as well as a Southwest hub? If so, why not another one centered in Indianapolis (Chicago and Midwestern and Southern cultures). Or in the Seattle-Vancouver area? Detroit and Toronto? If there are too many hubs, it weakens the centralization benefit of hubs. I'm not sure exactly how to limit things. One could ask "is there any way to have correspondents in New York, Washington, LA, etc. rather than siting a hub to try to capture those attractive locations?"

If I were most concerned with accurately understanding and affecting the US, I would certainly want something like the Indianapolis hub. But, maybe I would rather focus on global concerns. If the Southwest hub allows for better access to the Global South (via Tijuana), then that makes it advantageous for understanding and affecting the world. Likewise, the Northeast hub, by connecting to Washington and New York, connects to power structures (power cultures) that affect the whole world, so it is of that level of strategic value. In fact, if I were a Southerner or Midwesterner concerned about the under-representation of Southern or Midwestern values in the future, I might want to mainly try to send correspondents to the Southwest or Northeast, so that they would be part of that conversation directly, rather than trying to create a parallel culture of cultural altruism, to reduce cultural "shear".

In comparing the Northeast with the Southwest, I think one advantage of the Southwest is that Tijuana has a lower cost of living than San Diego, LA, New York, Washington, or (I'm assuming) anywhere in between New York and Washington.[*] So, if someone from the Southern US wants to send a representative to a cultural altruism hub, and they have a limited budget, they could fund more people in Tijuana than they could in the Northeast. As US citizens, those sent people could cross the border and access San Diego and LA. There would be the usual inconvenience of crossing, but it would be a lot more affordable than flying to the Southwest (or even the Northeast) on a regular basis, and possibly less time-consuming. I would assume that many people in the Northeast have enough money that they could fund people in San Diego or LA (or Tijuana), if they want to be represented there.

([*]: Tijuana's cost of living is close to half that of San Diego. The other hub cities mentioned (LA, New York, Washington, Bay Area) are about as expensive or more expensive than San Diego. (All this as of April 2022). *** *** All of those numbers came from Expatistan, but then I experienced a glitch on that site (I think) which calls it into question somewhat. So then I checked out World Cost of Living Calculator, which said that Tijuana's cost of living was more like a third that of San Diego. SD's relationship to LA, NY, DC, and the Bay seemed comparable to Expatistan. So I guess the numbers on Tijuana are probably somewhat fuzzy. *** Now I should see if I can find another cost of living site to see how it compares. worlddata.info says that cost of living in Mexico is one half of that of the US. San Diego and Tijuana could plausibly both be at the more expensive ends of their respective countries, so maybe that makes the Expatistan number sound good. *** Numbeo comes up with 130k MXN in San Diego for a 50k MXN lifestyle in Tijuana (in Tijuana, spend about 38% of what you do in San Diego) *** I'm going to quit at this point and say that Tijuana is somewhere between a third and a half as expensive as San Diego, and, also remember that "your mileage may vary".)

(If you want to legally immigrate to Mexico, you have to have a savings balance and/or monthly income above a certain amount. According to Mexperience.com, the monthly income required comes out to ~30,000 USD or ~55,000 USD per year to become a permanent resident, depending on whether you apply within Mexico, or at a consulate in another country, respectively (temporary residency is less). I'm not sure why there's so much of a difference. I would guess that you have to apply for residency at a consulate when you first go, but if you are already living in Mexico and to extend your temporary residency or upgrade to permanent residency, maybe you can apply in Mexico and get lower rates. *** This required income reduces the cost-effectiveness of living in Tijuana, especially at the $55,000 a year price point, but on the other hand, as noted elsewhere in this post, you can stay up to 180 days in Mexico as a tourist, and that would give you the full benefit of the low cost of living compared to the US. People who want to fund developing world people in Tijuana may have to pay them more, but maybe that's good (attracts a certain kind of talent / allows the people they hire to send back remittances or something like that). I was going to write "a better kind of talent", but people who aren't motivated as much by money have something valuable just in that and offering more money will decrease the proportion of that kind of people in a culture. *** Before you can get a permanent resident visa, you need to hold a temporary resident visa for 4 years (according to Where the Road Forks). These don't have as high an income requirement, as mentioned above (specifically ~$33,000 at a consulate and ~$18,000 in Mexico, according to Mexperience.com). So that makes it more affordable to start to settle in Tijuana. *** One thing I missed on Mexperience.com earlier was that to add on dependent spouses or minors is about $900 (consulate) / $500 (in Mexico) per person of required income per month. *** Another point from Mexperience.com is that you can use a savings balance instead of a monthly income. ~$45,000 / ~$25,000 for temporary residency, ~$180,000 / ~$100,000 for permanent residency, dependent spouse and minor ~$900 / ~$500.)

I think practically what I would do is advertise the attractive features (and potential downsides) of different areas or ways of approaching cultural altruism hubs, all the considerations given in this post, and let individuals decide where to relocate. The advantages and disadvantages decide, more than any one individual. It's better for these hubs to be scenes, and scenes involve decentralized decision-making.

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What would be the minimum size of a viable cultural altruism hub?

Using the California hub as an example, we could say that LA needs to have a population living in it full-time in order to tap into the movie and music scene (L), there needs to be a population who travel to LA from San Diego sometimes (SL), a population who travel to Tijuana sometimes (ST), and a population who live in San Diego full-time (S). Populations SL, ST, and S could be the same, if all the people in San Diego want to keep up with both LA and Tijuana.

I would say that's the minimum set-up, although maybe we could switch L for T (instead of people living in LA, people living in Tijuana, for a minimum hub). [Later: I'm not sure why you even need L or T for the bare minimum hub.] How many people does it take to make a viable hub? My subjective guess is that probably all the roles need to be filled or the hub won't work. The total number (L + S) also needs to be above a certain amount or the scene is likely to spontaneously fade out. What is the minimum viable value of L + S? If I consult my gut, I would say that under 15 is more likely to fade out than to grow spontaneously, 15 to 30 is maybe equally likely to fade out as to grow spontaneously, 30 to 100 is more likely to grow spontaneously than to fade out spontaneously, and increasingly so the more you get above 100. (Everything is finite, so at some point above 100 it would stop growing spontaneously, but I don't know what value to pick for that.)

(This is an area where people with more experience with community building would know better.)

A more cohesive and motivated group can keep from fading out longer at lower population sizes. Also this group would get the best returns on the hub structure, by integrating everyone's experiences more deeply. A scene should eventually involve people who are not integrated or only casually motivated, but at first, to seed something like this, it might be good to have people who are more connected and motivated. However, there is a danger of becoming insular that way. (A "cult" that's too hard to join.) Probably it is best to just have more people seeding it, if you can afford to.

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Could there be some connection to reducing tensions between governments in the long term, through cultural altruism and cultural altruism hubs?

Right now (as of drafting this section, 9 May 2022), there is a war going on in Ukraine which could be seen as the clash of civilizations. Russia might have an extra incentive in fighting the US, because they don't like liberal culture, and liberal dominance. The US thinks that Putin is an abuser of human (liberal) rights. What if the US and Russia could talk about what is so good and bad about liberalism, and come to an agreement to mitigate the harms of liberalism, or illiberalism, as the case may be, and then not look at each other as evil? They really are evil, both of them, at least when they do the bad things that come along with liberalism / illiberalism. They are right to be concerned about each other and their reaching for power. But they could come to see each other as, though never the same, at least functionally safe for each other and their own people.

Now, the trick is, what exactly am I referring to (de re) when I said "the US" and "Russia" in that last paragraph? Am I talking about Biden and Putin? Biden is "here today, gone tomorrow", given that at most he'll be in office 8 years. And the US government is not nearly so coherent as to be something any one person is totally in control of. Putin may be more representative of "Russia", in terms of him being able to decide to go to war in Ukraine based on his personal feelings. But even assuming Putin has total power in Russia, Putin came from somewhere, has history, was taught things, and had to convince people around him to do what he wants, has to understand the gradients of Russian psychology, and that psychology comes from somewhere, has history, has been taught things.

Because I don't know that much about politics and government, I will try to be vague and broad and say "elite culture" is the main determinant of "the US" and "Russia". Exactly who goes in "the elite", I don't know. But, wherever leaders come from in a country, and whatever scenes they have to pass through on their way to power, that's elite culture (a broad definition). Whatever the elite culture experiences, however they interpret that experience, however they were educated, however they relate to each other interpersonally, what their collective traumas were, even perhaps whatever food and music they like, etc. has some bearing on how politics and government work in a given culture, and thus what kinds of decisions are made by entities we can call "Washington", "Moscow", or "Beijing".

The US has a lot of soft power. How is it so powerful? One possibility is that it, without realizing it, hitched its wagon to hedonism and preference satisfaction, the gradients of humans getting what they naturally want, "freely". (This view somewhat descends from How The West Was Won by Scott Alexander.) So rock music is "liberation", is the destruction of tradition, is "be a generic human with drives who likes to feel". Western rock and pop went around the world. When you are liberated, you are a liberal and you like the US, perhaps. But what are you liberated from? And when you get what you feel like, maybe what you feel like is enslaving you.

The US is a country founded on pleasing its people -- which is great in the short run (for a few centuries, maybe), but worrisome if you think that there's something worth fighting for besides humans' natural hedonism and preference satisfaction. People tend to find something fishy or weird with wireheading, but why? It's just hedonism and preference satisfaction taken to a logical extreme. Maybe we have some intuitive sense that there's something more to value than just hedonism and preference satisfaction, and the thought of wireheading is weird and extreme enough that we can see in enough relief how it could be bad. Things like pretty sunsets and not having to wait in line at the grocery store too long just seem like "living the good life". But wireheading takes the whole "get what you want and feel good" idea too far.

But I think in American culture, or, in my California left/liberal world, wireheading is one of the few things that maybe we would think is "too far". Francis Fukuyama, in The End of History thought (sorry I can't cite which page) that California was the most "post-historical" part of the world. [Internet Archive's PDF copy has on p. 319 "in the most post-historical part of the United States, California" -- most post-historical part of the US, not of the world.] Maybe that means, the place most accepting of "the good life of getting what you want and feeling good", where everything is chill and everything is okay. I feel like sometimes, here in California, we are drifting toward being "post-consciousness", that on many levels we will cease to be human beings, lacking personal histories, and will be unable to comprehend many emotional realities, and cease to care, a kind of depersonalized "beautiful nihilism".

The rest of the world, or parts of the rest of the world, looking at that, are horrified. The reaction that we still have to wireheading, they have to "America". America is just wireheading that hasn't finished getting there. They don't want to be America, and they are horrified that we are able to use our soft power to addict them, "liberate" them, and depersonalize them, so that we go down the same drain with America, all a homogenized soup of pleasure and emptiness.

How much of the rest of the world really thinks this? I don't know, but supposedly it's the kind of thing that goes into "Russian propaganda against the West", which I assume does convince some people and probably does have some connection with how Russian elite culture actually thinks.

The thing about soft power is that it is powered by gradients of human nature, and thus the rock bands in America and Britain need have no idea what they are doing, what their influence is having to undermine traditional cultures. The basic idea of rock is all it takes to get loose and get copied. Whenever someone goes to try to make it in Hollywood, they tend to have little or no intention to prop up US soft power. They just want to make money or be famous, or pursue their art, and Americans just want to feel good, or uplifted, or whatever they get out of movies. Americans can be very insular, and for some weird reason the rest of the world is obsessed with America and can't take their eyes off us. And we just go about producing powerful entertainments that please us and satisfy our preferences. But then they get out in the world and influence the world.

So that means that the US hardly thinks about what it's doing culturally, it just does it. And so we are in a position where "power is a broken relationship" -- we are powerful because we don't understand what we're doing. We don't hear back from the people we are talking to. They are obsessed with us, but we are not obsessed with them. So we are not shaped by them. We are the conversation, and they are listening. They can go our way, but we won't and seemingly can't go theirs. We are the way of the future, and the future will inevitably come. And we are the culture of inevitability, which is seemingly the most successful culture, the one which supplants all other cultures.

I am both pessimistic and optimistic about culture. I think we are headed down the drain, and in some respects I have sympathies with traditional cultures in their rejection of liberalism. But I am optimistic because I don't think we have to keep going down the drain, and we can stop doing that, if we listen to all the people in the world, so that they can teach us their values. One risk of "cultural altruism", especially in hubs, is that it might gather together cultures and then be a blender that homogenizes all of them. I don't know if this homogenization is entirely avoidable, and perhaps in some ways could be good (maybe there are values that all humans should have). But, while hubs are risky that way, they do provide the opportunity for non-American/non-Western cultures to try to talk back to the seats of soft power. Russia (/ "Moscow") or China (/ "Beijing") could try to influence popular and elite cultures in the US by sending "cultural missionaries" to try to explain to Hollywood, Silicon Valley, Washington, and New York what is so dangerous about liberal power and liberal drift, why exactly Communism or the Russian soul is better in alignment with the true good values than liberalism, and why liberal power, soft and hard, is a dangerous and irresponsible thing, is a bunch of rich Westerners who affect the rest of the world, and the future, in ways they don't understand -- people who don't know what they're doing.

Being a missionary is a two-way street, and liberal influence would make its way back to Moscow and Beijing, but from their perspective, at least it's a two-way street and not what, it seems, is closer to a one-way street where America -- or human drives -- speak without being willing and/or able to hear.

People who are good at talking win when there's a norm of "we do things by talking". When people become unable to talk, they resort to violence. When liberalism is, effectively and where it counts, unable or unwilling to hear what the traditional or illiberal wish they could say -- then they will resort to violence at some point, to express what they can't say. But if we really let people try to change our culture, and we don't shut them out (or shut them up), then they do not have to use violence to get their way, and there could be fewer tensions internationally. Cultural altruism and cultural altruism hubs could be access points for non-Western entities to try to speak to Western culture, thus reducing their need to be violent. What if "Moscow", "Beijing", and "Washington" (and all other synecdoches like those) could trust each other? If the whole cultures of each city could trust the cultures of others? Maybe this is partially or wholly attainable.

--

Well, thinking optimistically, getting national governments involved in this could be a good thing. But, consider China's Confucius Institutes, which have been accused of being propaganda arms of the Chinese government. Chinese culture should have a seat at any table of global culture. But should the Chinese government? The Chinese government has its own "biological" interests (protecting its own survival, furthering its own power for power's own sake). These are not necessarily aligned with finding the truth of the best cultural values. It is good to have governments at the table -- they are part of culture. But governments have a unique ability to overrepresent themselves because they have so much money and power.

Any decentralized hub can be accessed by anyone -- that's part of the virtue of it. It might be possible to use something like ostracism against the Chinese government (or the US government). But a clever government could co-opt / bribe, or infiltrate other cultural units. Maybe this is unlikely enough to happen that it can be dealt with ad hoc if and when it does happen. Like, effective altruism could have been infiltrated by government agencies, and, as it grows, it becomes an even bigger target for that. But maybe it won't happen.

If it does happen with effective altruism, and at worst-case it takes the life or soul of EA away (either of which is death), then we could look back on EA's life and remember with honor the many things it did accomplish, especially the useful thoughts it created, in its lifetime when it was really itself. Those thoughts can help a successor movement get off the ground more easily, I would think. So, with a "cultural altruism" movement, a lot of the good it could do would be when it was relatively small and quiet. Cultural altruism goes beyond any one movement, just as effective altruism goes beyond the current effective altruism movement. So even if one movement got infiltrated, and lost its soul and thus was not trustworthy or trust-producing anymore, a new movement which had a truth-seeking soul could emerge, be credible, become known as credible, and carry the torch of the cultural altruism topic. Perhaps the scene could carry on throughout the transition. The topic is eternal and the scene is perhaps very long-lasting, even if movements, or even nations, come and go.

A cultural altruism hub would attract both "soldiers" and "scouts". Scouts would be looking for the truth and would be representative agents of people who value the truth but don't have the resources to sort through all the different perspectives. Soldiers would be trying to convince scouts of things, or convince each other of things. For a hub to work, scouts would have to put forth as much effort as soldiers, and exert a kind of influence over the culture. (This is basically the tension between "meta" and "partisan" interests as mentioned above.) Scouts would be able to exert soft power by not taking seriously distortionary effects of soldiers' lawyerly advocacy. They would also be advocates for good communication norms.

I would expect there to potentially be a kind of an arms race, where national governments like the US, Russia, and China, sent in people and tried to develop more sophisticated arguments and cultural artifacts, to favor purely national-political interests, in the guise of promoting national-cultural interests. And the "metans" or "scouts", and regular people in the scene (including less-assiduous, -competitive, and/or -resourced "soldiers"), would learn to filter out such propaganda.

The scouts, or any "scout/soldier hybrids", might work to improve the arguments of the underresourced. For instance, if a member of an Amazonian tribe were debating a Roman Catholic, the Catholic would have Thomas Aquinas, Augustine, maybe Aristotle, plus hundreds or thousands of past and present professional Catholic theologians to use for her defense. The Amazonian tribe member might have what he remembered of what his extended family taught him. He might have a big problem finding flaws in her arguments, just because over the centuries, the Catholics have heard many counterarguments to their views and have come up with responses. But that doesn't mean that Catholicism is right and the Amazonian tribe is wrong. It could just mean that the tribe never had the worldly resources to come up with a really robust and sophisticated defense of itself. This is where cultural altruists, trying to be scouts, but using soldier moves, could try to strengthen the Amazonian case.

--

So San Diego is conveniently across the border from a (somewhat dangerous) Mexican city that's somewhat easier to immigrate to than the US, and to the north of San Diego, there's Los Angeles, a center of the film and music industries. To the east of San Diego there is a rural area in the Imperial Valley and south of that there is a rural area and an industrial and urban area in the Mexicali Valley. Silicon Valley is a day's drive away from San Diego.

[Also the San Joaquin Valley is about a day away, for a perhaps different rural environment.]

Washington, D.C. and New York are not too far from each other, and somewhere in between could also be a hub. We see a route by which non-American/non-Western thinking can get access to the elite culture of the most powerful country on earth, by way of San Diego.

[A route whereby the northeast and southwest work together.]

There need to be other hubs, or "correspondents", to gather influence from all different parts of the world.

I keep nervously wondering if I've written something that is biased in favor of Southern California because I live here, but I think that the principles in this post should be helpful in deciding whatever place a hub should be located, if there is a better place.

--

Added note:

I was reading in National Geographic (December 2002, "The Hawaiians", by Paul Theroux), and came across this quote (p. 16):

--Watching the sail bellying in the wind, Skipper Bertelsmann said to me, "This canoe represents family. It's about sharing -- history, values, culture, kuleana [responsibilities], kōkua [help]. Sailing a long distance, the canoe becomes our island. We have to learn to live and work together in harmony. These are values that are translated to land. On land, think 'canoe.'"--

Traditional Polynesian sailing, makes people into a different kind of person on land or at sea -- perhaps a distinctively Hawaiian person. It may be necessary to do something like that to understand Hawaiian values. Cultural altruists may have to physically live as a certain people group, with the people, to understand.